![News hero gradient](/en-uk/-/media/project/gain-capital/city-index/heros/news/news-article-lp-hero.jpg?h=278&iar=0&w=1920&hash=E65F01A375DB6E7ED1E0CD20B7E74204)
Latest research
Sort by:
- Newest
- Popular
![japan_03](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/japan/japan_03.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=8B5A7AD567F7C3B237E1C4D4D0AB5D41)
USDJPY Forecast: Key Levels for BOJ and FOMC Week
USDJPY Forecast: the anticipation of a tighter monetary policy at the next BOJ meeting has dominated oversold pressures on the USDJPY. Is there a reversal on the horizon?
![recession_01](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/recession/recession_01.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=76AE66C8176A7CCA59ADF0D48D82CE5E)
FOMC, BOJ, BOE take the reigns of market drivers: The Week Ahead
Harris replacing Biden may not be a radical overhaul where policies are concerned, but it has certainly brought the Democrat’s prospects for maintaining power back from the brink of death. From a market perspective, it means Trump is no longer a ‘walk in’ President, and political headlines from the US are no longer driving sentiment for now. Thankfully, we have intertest rate decisions from the FOMC, BOE and BOJ to drive sentiment, along with NFP and Australia’s CPI report for good measure.
![Oil refinery](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/energy15.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=5966C71571B13528B885623C7D08CE9A)
Crude oil forecast: WTI rallies following stronger GDP data
Stronger GDP, core durable goods orders and the drop in oil inventories have all helped to alleviate demand concerns somewhat, reducing the pressure on oil prices. After today’s reversal-looking price candle, our crude oil forecast has turned modestly bullish.
![Forex trading](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex10v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=126832F100584F0C85C35A39336313AC)
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Digests Data, Core PCE on Tap
EUR/USD is trying to stage a bounce off the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the late-June to mid-July rally
![united_kingdom_03](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/united-kingdom/uk_united_kingdom_03.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=6845158AAB1144DF868AFCF16CED6596)
GBPUSD Outlook: Key Levels Ahead of BOE and Fed Polices
The GBPUSD has dipped below the crucial 1.29 level ahead of this week's final wave of volatility surrounding US GDP and Core PCE data, and in anticipation of next week’s BOE and Fed monetary policy decisions. Will bearish pressures continue?
![Currency prices](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=183D4D4C79E6D768FDF1EED491C218F5)
USD/CAD, CAD/JPY forecast: Canadian dollar analysis - July 24, 2024
The CAD/JPY trend has turned negative following this week’s big rally in the yen, while the USD/CAD will be in focus with the release of key US data in the coming days.
![Congress building](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/usa2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=B62EB4C92EAF0DB59D2752F909FF7695)
S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls after Tesla & Alphabet earnings underwhelm
U.S. stocks are to open sharply lower after Tesla and Alphabet's earnings underwhelmed. Tesla's net income almost halved to $1.47bn vs. the $1.9 bn forecast. Alphabet beat on earnings and revenue, but YouTube ad revenue missed forecasts. The selloff in Alphabet highlights how high the bar has been set.
![Close-up of market chart showing downtrend](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=16ED69B3107EF98B6DAF196A4AF1A902)
EUR/USD, EUR/JPY forecast: Weak PMIs dampens euro as yen roars back
While the euro has struggled, the Japanese yen continues to roar back higher. The strengthening yen is a reflection of tightening of bond yield spread between Japan and the rest of the world, after ballooning following the years of excessive expansionary monetary policy in Japan while the rest of the world pursued a sharp contractionary policy to combat surging inflation.
![Oil refinery](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/energy15.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=5966C71571B13528B885623C7D08CE9A)
Crude Oil Forecast: Oil Dives Deeper into its Consolidation
Crude Oil Forecast: Beyond the positive oil outlook of the summer season, GDP figures and clean energy transitions are weighing on oil prices.
![Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex7.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=6D6ED62D523F05A882A454AD98D49661)
USD/JPY, EURUSD Forecast: Two trades to watch
USD/JPY falls to a monthly low. EUR/USD falls after PMI data missed forecasts.
![20231218 - 001 - 01](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2023/12/20231218---001---01.jpg?h=775&w=1377&hash=304FBC6C647F00FF0429C26324EBBF8E)
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ steady with US elections & earnings in focus
U.S. stocks are rising, adding to yesterday's gains as US elections remain in focus and earnings season ramps up. Kamala Harris appears to get the backing of the Democrats. Attention is also on Tesla and Alphabet ahead of their earnings release after the close. Tesla traded up 25% in July, and Alphabet is up 30% this year, so expectations are high.
![japan_08](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/japan/japan_08.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=E9A98CFE2BE70FA8CE8EACDB3B6F58ED)
USDJPY Forecast: Japanese Inflation vs US Inflation
USDJPY Forecast: The US Dollar index steadies above 104 given an uncertain political atmosphere, but the USDJPY dips back near monthly lows amid monetary tightening expectations.
![stocks_03](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/stock-markets/stocks_03.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=D9F2BA6FE2F86D54DC33142B0774C6B5)
S&P 500 Forecast: Key Tech Earnings in Focus
Investors are turning their attention to US earnings with 29% of the S&P 500 companies set to report their results this week. Tonight, we will hear from two of the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks, Alphabet and Tesla, which could impact the S&P 500 forecast.
![Gold_bar](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/banners/nanda-banner-gold_bar.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=B79BCAF93968D4205137C57EAAC2379E)
Gold was overbought weeks ago, according to this measure
Gold futures traders waded into the metal ahead of the record high set last week. But if we adjust large speculative positioning for open interest, it turns out they reached a record level of bullish exposure five weeks ago.
![100USD_buildings](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/banners/nanda-banner-100usd_buildings.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=E8C2C0E6691E05B7677EE753BF78E04A)
S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises after Biden steps down from election race
U.S. stocks rose on Monday as the market considered the latest developments surrounding the US elections and Republican nominee Donald Trump's odds of a second term as President. Biden announced that he was stepping down from the race, endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris. The market is also looking to earnings & core PCE inflation data later in the week.
![Close-up of stock market board](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/stocks2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=54F33AB4B61EBB269E3772C940D8AC1B)
EURUSD, DXY Analysis: Political Shifts vs PMI and PCE Week
EURUSD, DXY Analysis: the DXY and EURUSD are respecting potential consolidation boundaries, with the DXY back in the 104 zone, and the EURUSD back below 1.09.
![indices_screen](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/banners/nanda-banner-indices_screen.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=E33E07536FF5DA65D21D557AAD1EF09C)
GBP/USD, USD/JPY, VIX, gold analysis from the weekly COT report
Large speculators surged into GBP/USD long bets last week, pushing net-long exposure to a record high and at the fastest weekly pace since records began. They also continued to trim net-short exposure to yen futures for a second week, after it nearly reached a record high of its own.
![Oil refinery](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/energy15.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=5966C71571B13528B885623C7D08CE9A)
Crude Oil Forecast: Key Levels for the Week Ahead
Crude Oil Forecast: Oil is dropping further into its consolidation, following the steep drops of the commodities market
![Market trader analysing data](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/trader-1.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=188979235E3B262FB53B1119C38B3FB3)
EUR/USD outlook: PMIs, US GDP and Core PCE to set FX tone
In this week's EUR/USD outlook, we see important macro events in the days ahead which could set the short-term tone for this and other major FX pairs. But first, we will begin by looking at the chart to remind ourselves of the trend.
![Forex trading](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex10v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=126832F100584F0C85C35A39336313AC)
EUR/USD Forecast: Forex Friday - July 19, 2024
Our EUR/USD forecast remains bullish but in light of the dollar recovery and the mild risk-off sentiment, we wouldn’t rule out some further short-term weakness after rates fell back below the 1.09 handle following the ECB’s rate decision. The week ahead promises to be an important one for the FX markets, with the release of global PMIs, US GDP and the Fed’s favourite inflation measure.
![united_kingdom_03](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/united-kingdom/uk_united_kingdom_03.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=6845158AAB1144DF868AFCF16CED6596)
GBPUSD Forecast: Key Levels for the Week Head
GBPUSD Forecast: The GBP/USD pair failed to sustain a close above the 1.3030 level. Current trends show bearish dominance, yet upcoming events next week will be crucial in determining whether the pair will continue its uptrend or face further declines.
![crypto_03](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/crypto/crypto_03.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=02059A869430566C11EFBEF1EBCF75AA)
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: “Magnificent Seven” Q2 2024 Earnings Preview
The Nasdaq 100 is in a precarious technical position after breaking below a near-term bullish trend line and slipping below the 20K level ahead of Magnificent Seven earnings.
![Market trader analysing data](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/trader-1.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=188979235E3B262FB53B1119C38B3FB3)
S&P 500 Forecast: A Path to Recovery After Tech Wreck
While the tech sector's struggles have dominated headlines, it's crucial to note that the broader stock market's performance is not solely dependent on the "magnificent 7" group of tech stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached its fourth consecutive record high on Wednesday, driven by sector rotation. The small-cap Russell 2000 index has also posted substantial gains lately, spurred by last week's inflation report showing consumer prices falling to 3.0% year-over-year in June.