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Euro Technical Outlook: EUR/USD, EUR/JPY Pullbacks
While the headlines out of Europe have been largely negative, price action in the Euro hasn’t quite matched that pace. EUR/USD continues to push-higher while holding 1.0500 and EUR/JPY has pulled back from the early-week sell-off.
EUR/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD rises despite the French government's collapse. USD/JPY falls with BoJ rate hike bets in focus & ahead of jobless claims data
Crude Oil Outlook: 4-Year Support vs OPEC December Decision
Crude Oil Outlook: With several challenges facing OPEC’s meeting today, crude oil’s 4-year support zone remains pivotal in determining its next move—will it result in a bearish breakout or a bullish reversal?
EUR/USD Struggles to Trade Back Above Former Support Zone
The opening range for December is in focus for EUR/USD as it appears to be stuck in a narrow range.
EURUSD, Dow Forecast: On Edge Ahead of Key US Data
EURUSD, Dow Forecast: The EURUSD maintains its rebound above the key 1.0333 level, while the Dow pauses near record highs above 45,000, and the DXY holds steady at critical support ahead of Friday's NFP.
US Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, USD/JPY
The US Dollar finally pulled back from its aggressive Q4 breakout move, and this was fueled by the strongest weekly outing in EUR/USD in two years with last week’s bounce.
EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD rises, but the outlook remains weak below 1.06. Oil rises ahead of inventory data & OPEC’s meeting later in the week
Forex Seasonality – December 2024: Can EUR/USD and AUD/USD Rally?
EUR/USD and AUD/USD are heading into their strongest month, hinting at rally potential after November drops.
Crude oil forecast: Crucial week as OPEC meeting and key data loom
This could be a pivotal week for the crude oil. With key US economic data on the horizon and the OPEC+ meeting later this week to discuss oil production targets, market participants are bracing for significant developments.
EUR/USD, FTSE Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD falls amid French political uncertainty, FTSE inches higher after strong Chinese manufacturing data, but UK data disappoints.
Bullish bets on the yen continue to gain traction: COT report
We may have seen an important swing low on the yen looking at the change of speculative market positioning. And that could see a much deeper pullback on USD/JPY.
Crude Oil Week Ahead: OPEC Meeting, Key US Data, and Key Levels
Crude Oil Week Ahead: Crude oil faces volatility risks ahead of the OPEC meeting, now rescheduled for Thursday to accommodate all members and avoid a clash with the Gulf Summit. Sideways price movements persist, leaning towards a bearish bias for 2025.
Pound Forecast: GBP/USD posts its strongest week since September. Can it continue rising?
GBP/USD held steady on Friday but is on track for its largest weekly rise since mid-September as the US dollar gave back some of its Trump victory gains.
EUR/USD forecast: Forex Friday – November 29, 2024
We will maintain our bearish EUR/USD forecast for the time being. This pair remains rooted in a bear trend, not just because of the threats of tariffs in 2025, but more so because of weakness in the eurozone economy and therefore the potential for more ECB rate cuts than from the Fed in the US, where even a December rate cut is not fully priced in, let alone cuts in 2025, after Trump’s election victory.
EUR/USD: Fading French political turmoil with the White Knight on standby
French political drama is generating noise again, but don’t be fooled; it's the relative outlook for growth and inflation either side of the Atlantic that’s really moving EUR/USD. With the ECB ready to step in, perpetual French chaos is just a sideshow for the euro.
EURUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Inflation Data and Holiday Volatility
EURUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Eurozone inflation data is in focus as EURUSD hovers near two-year lows. Meanwhile, irregular market volatility surrounding Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Year is poised to dominate headlines, alongside key US economic data and Federal Reserve rate expectations in early December.
US Dollar Snaps Back, USD/JPY Descending Triangle Breakdown
USD/JPY bears have gone to work over the past two weeks, holding a lower-high even as USD spiked last Friday. And then forcing a breakdown from the descending triangle formation to test below the 151.95 level.
EUR/USD Recovery Eyes Former Support Zone Around April Low
The recovery in EUR/USD may turn out to be temporary if it struggles to trade back above the former-support zone around the April low (1.0601).
CAC, DAX forecast: EU stocks struggle amid political uncertainty as Wall Street hits records
In Europe, concerns about US tariffs, a struggling Eurozone economy and political uncertainty in France and Germany are continuing to hold back risk assets. France's CAC index is now nearly 6% lower on the year. The DAX forecast is also far from bullish, with a key drag being the European auto sector’s reaction to potential tariff threats.
EUR/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD rises cautiously ahead of German GFK data & post-Fed minutes. USD/JPY falls to a 3-week low ahead of US core PCE data.
NZD/USD, AUD/NZD: RBNZ to mull dovish cut in face of tariffs, Trump 2.0
The consensus is 50bp, market pricing leans towards 75bp. Whatever the RBNZ decide to do today, it comes down to whether they will signal further cuts, as to whether NZD/USD continues to depreciate or bounce on a "sell the rumour, buy the fact" reaction.
Euro Parity: What Will it Take to Drive the EUR/USD to 1.00?
While parity is just a number in theory, it often carries significant psychological and economic weight - see what it might take to drive to EUR/USD to 1.00!
Trump Bump Price Action Setups: Gold, Bitcoin, EUR/USD, SPX
It’s been a fast-evolving market since the Presidential election three weeks ago. But stocks remain higher, Bitcoin has put in a major move and gold is on its back foot.