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USD/JPY forecast: Stalemate looms on BOJ intervention threat, range trading favoured
The threat of intervention from the BOJ has increased, likely limiting upside for USD/JPY in the near to medium-term. But extremely wide interest rate differentials and buoyant markets suggest it shouldn’t be significantly lower. It points to a stalemate for yen bulls and bears but opens the door for traders to play existing ranges.
USD/JPY forecast: Japan’s weak yen headache risks becoming a full-blown migraine
Japanese officials are once again attempting to talk down the high-flying USD/JPY, arguing moves over the past few weeks do not reflect fundamentals but speculative activity. Sitting in a technical pattern that points the risk of substantial upside ahead, their weak yen headache may soon turn into a full-blown migraine.
Japanese yen slides post BOJ, do we need to be on intervention alert?
The fact that the yen was broadly weaker following the BOJ's historic hike shows that it was not only priced in, but traders wanted more. Yet the rapid weakness of the yen brings back a familiar question; will the BOJ begin verbal intervention?
USD/JPY analysis: What’s next for JPY and USD amid diverging policies?
Will the yen make a comeback with BoJ finally ending negative rates? Attention now turns to FOMC policy decision, with traders expecting the median dot plots to point to 2 rate cuts in 2024 – but is a hawkish Fed already priced in? USD/JPY technical analysis points higher, but do watch out for a potential false breakout.
USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: BOJ scraps negative rates but not bond buys, pressuring yen
A historic day for Japanese markets with the Bank of Japan (BOJ) hiking interest rates for the first time since 2007, doing away with negative interest rates in the process. It’s now over to the Fed to drive the price action over the remainder of the week.
USD/JPY analysis: BoJ and FOMC Meetings Key Focus in Financial Markets – Currency Pair of the Week
The USD/JPY will face a major test in the week ahead, with both the Bank of Japan and US Federal Reserve set to make monetary policy decisions a day apart. The USD/JPY has managed to recover strongly, rising from around 146.50 to above 149.00 in a few days. The recovery has been driven in part because of a rebound in bond yields a stronger dollar.
Nikkei 225 longs favoured into BOJ and Fed rate decisions, Nvidia GPU conference
Recent price action in Nikkei 225 futures points to upside risks this week, indicating confidence among traders that even with major events such as rate decisions from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve, along with Nvidia’s GPU Technology Conference, the bull market that helped propel the underlying index to record highs is anything but finished.
USD/JPY Forecast: BOJ and Fed Enter the Arena, Yields in Focus
USD/JPY's key technical levels to watch in the coming days include possible resistance at 149.70 and 151.00, with support down at 148.70 and 145.85.
Central Bank galore with BOJ, Fed, BOE, SNB and RBA on tap: The Week Ahead
It is a monster week ahead for traders with a key focus on central banks, with BOJ, Fed, BOE and RBA meetings on the menu.
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, and GBP/JPY in Play Ahead of BOJ
The long-awaited results from the Japan’s spring wage negotiations are winding down, and the results are generally what the BOJ wanted to see to exit its ultra-accommodative monetary policy. See the key levels to watch on USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, and GBP/JPY!
USD/JPY: Intensifying disinflationary pulse pressures BOJ rate hike ambitions
Underlying disinflationary pressures in Tokyo intensified last month, pointing to the likelihood of similar trends nationally and underscoring the need for wage growth to reach sufficient levels to boost flagging consumer demand.
USD/JPY forecast: What sparks fresh highs when conditions are already exceptionally good?
USD/JPY remains supported on dips but where does the next leg higher come from? The US rate outlook has adjusted substantially, pushing yields rapidly higher. With risk appetite nearing euphoric levels, it begs the question: will conditions get any better for bulls than now?
USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: BOJ negative rate watch shouldn’t rank highly for traders
Focusing on whether the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will scrap negative interest rates should be low on the list of priorities for USD/JPY traders to consider right now. It’s not as important as it’s portrayed to be, creating plenty of noise for an event that could pass without generating significant market volatility.
USD/JPY outlook hinges on continued US interest rate recalibration
The Japanese yen continues to dance to the tune of US interest rate expectations and broader risk sentiment, meaning events that may influence either of those areas should be the focus for USD/JPY traders this week.
Ducks have lined up for Nikkei 225 to test its 1989 high
If there was ever a day for Japan’s Nikkei 225 to overcome its demons and take out the record high set in December 1989, few screen better than today. The ducks look to have lined up for bulls. If we can’t set a new peak, it may provide a subtle warning that the market has run too hard, too fast.
GBP/JPY: Eying bullish break to multi-year highs ahead of key economic reports
GBP/JPY is on the cusp of breaking to fresh multi-year highs ahead of key inflation and employment data from the United Kingdom and Japan, making this a pair to keep on the radar over the next 48 hours.
USD/JPY, Nikkei trading heavy as news flow bolsters case for BOJ rate hike
Japan has received a raft of bullish economic news today, sending Japanese government bond yields higher while simultaneously placing downward pressure on USD/JPY and the Nikkei 225.
GBP/JPY teases 2015 high post BOJ, Crude oil eyes $77: European open
The US dollar and yen were the weakest FX majors during the Asian session, following reports of China stimulus and no change in policy from the BOJ. GBP/JPY has probed a key resistance level and crude oil shows the potential to extend yesterday's gains.
USD/JPY, Nikkei 225 whipsawed as BOJ provides few clues on rate hike timeline
Japan’s Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY have been whipsawed following the BOJ January interest rate decision with policymakers providing few clues as to whether they’re likely to lift interest rates out of negative territory for the first time in nearly a decade later in the year.
EUR/JPY: US data in control without BOJ or ECB rate shock
EUR/JPY sits near two-month highs heading into the BOJ and ECB interest rate decisions, consolidating after a strong rally that saw the pair add nearly eight big figures from the lows of December.
ASX 200, AUD/JPY bouncing back with improved risk appetite
With risk appetite back in full swing and market indicators on US recession risk providing a green light for the soft landing narrative, cyclicals such as Australia’s ASX 200 and AUD/JPY recovered last week, returning to the uptrend they’ve been in since the risk rival revival took hold in late October.
USD/JPY, GBP/JPY: Disinflation trend a headache for hawkish Bank of Japan
Disinflation is gripping Japan as seen in other advanced economies before it, underlining the difficulties facing the Bank of Japan (BOJ) in eradicating the deflationary mindset that has dogged the nation for decades.
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, and GBP/JPY Near Decade+ Highs
GBP/JPY looks particularly strong, but both USD/JPY and EUR/JPY remain in clear bullish trends.