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BOE, SNB, RBA meetings, flash PMIs in focus: The Week Ahead

For the first week in a while, US data is not dominating the market focus. With a key US inflation report and FOMC meeting freshly in the rear-view mirror, markets can now shift attention to domestic data. Three top-tier central banks meet next week, including the RBA on Tuesday, followed by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and Bank of England (BOE) on Thursday. UK inflation data on Wednesday could set the tone for what to expect at future BOE meetings. Flash PMIs across Asia, Europe, and the US then close out the week, which can shape expectations for future growth and inflationary pressures.

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June 14, 2024 02:11 AM
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USD/JPY could be caught in the crossfire of FOMC, BOJ: The Week Ahead

With a key US inflation report being delivered less than six hours ahead of an FOMC meeting, it leaves plenty of potential for volatile swings leading into the headline event of the week. The Bank of Japan also announce their monetary policy decision, which puts USD/JPY onto the radar for currency traders.

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EUR/USD set to break 4-month losing streak ahead of ECB: The Week Ahead

Standout events for next week’s calendar include ISM reports for US business sentiment, nonfarm payrolls and an ECB meeting. And that places EUR/USD onto the radar for currency traders, which is currently on track to snap a four-month losing streak. But we also have an OPEC+ meeting on Sunday which leaves the potential for weekend gap risks. CAD pairs will also be on the radar to see if the BOC take the plunge and become the first major central bank to cut rates and steal the tile from the ECB by a day.

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May 31, 2024 04:32 AM

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USD, yields rise into next week’s PCE inflation: The Week Ahead

It was a more eventful week than anticipated, thanks to hotter PMI data across Europe and the US, serving as a reminder that inflationary pressures persist. And puts traders on high alert for flash CPI and PCE inflation reports for Europe and the US.

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May 24, 2024 04:46 AM
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The US dollar may not be ready to roll over just yet: The Week Ahead

We'll need to wait until next week's COT report to see the full damage of the US inflation report to USD long positioning, but with key levels holding as support we may find mean reversion works in the dollar's favour next week.

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May 17, 2024 05:06 AM
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US CPI needs to cool to keep the USD bear case in check: Week Ahead

Jerome Powell speaks on the eve of a key US inflation report, both events of which may provide plenty of volatility for the US dollar.

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May 10, 2024 05:11 AM
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GBP/AUD in the crossfire of BOE and RBA meetings: The Week Ahead

As currency traders we seek divergent themes between economies in identify probable moves on currency pairs. And should we see the RBA deliver a hawkish tone whilst the BOE release the doves, it could send GBP/AUD lower alongside the respective yield differential between the two economies.

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May 3, 2024 07:01 AM
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USD/JPY 155 in focus around US inflation, BOJ meeting: The Week Ahead

155 has become the latest 'glass ceiling' for the rapid rise of USD/JPY. And with a key US inflation report, BOJ meeting and potential for risk-off sentiment next week, this key level could be tested and prompt a response from Japan's central authorities.

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April 19, 2024 07:01 AM
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UK, CA, NZ inflation at the helm: The Week Ahead

With traders keen to see who will be the first among the BOE, BOC or RBNZ to cut rates, their attention will be surely on next week's inflation reports for their respective regions.

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April 12, 2024 04:39 AM
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S&P 500 rally threatened as geopolitics enters the ring: The Week Ahead

Tensions surrounding the Middle East has unsettled markets. US indices such as the S&P 500 are on track for their worst week of the year, crude oil reached a fresh YTD high and the risk-off sentiment was even enough to knock gold from its record. Traders therefore need to be on guard for headline risks surrounding the Middle East next week, alongside the usual bouts of economic data and central bank meetings.

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US dollar, Nasdaq 100, Gold forward returns over Easter: The Week Ahead

We have a shorter trading week due to the long Easter weekend. As there is a lack of top-tier data, we take at how the US dollar index, Nasdaq 100 and gold have performed around this time of year.

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March 22, 2024 02:13 AM
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Central Bank galore with BOJ, Fed, BOE, SNB and RBA on tap: The Week Ahead

It is a monster week ahead for traders with a key focus on central banks, with BOJ, Fed, BOE and RBA meetings on the menu.

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March 15, 2024 04:42 AM
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US dollar index on track for its worst week of the year: The Week Ahead

With Fed Chair Jerome Powell effectively delivering a dovish pivot during his testimony to the house Committee, traders will no doubt jump onto weaker US economic data to reprice multiple rate cuts - and that could weigh further on the US dollar.

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March 8, 2024 03:25 AM
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AUD/USD weekly outlook: AU GDP figures in focus for the RBA

Australia’s economy is slowing, but there’s a chance GDP could come in softer than the RBA’s own forecast. And that could weigh on AUD/USD on renewed RBA-cut bets.

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March 3, 2024 01:00 PM
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EUR/USD in the hands of ECB, Powell Testimony, ISM services: The Week Ahead

EUR/USD is on track for its smallest weekly range since September 2021, although 1-week implied volatility levels that we could see more action next week.

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March 1, 2024 04:38 AM
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US dollar weakness might be short lived: The Week Ahead

The US dollar shows the potential to retrace some of the week's losses in light of hawkish Fed comments. Although attention now shifts to the US PCE inflation report, Australian CPI and RBNZ interest rate decision and press conference.

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February 23, 2024 05:43 AM
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The Week Ahead: S&P 500 Uptrend May Come Down to NVDA Earnings

Nvidia’s earnings will be a key hurdle to determine whether the S&P 500 uptrend can continue. See what else we'll be watching!

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February 16, 2024 05:04 PM

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Can US inflation data make or break the US dollar? The Week Ahead

Whist the daily charts still appear favourable for another leg higher on the US dollar, the weekly charts and market positioning suggest some dark clouds may lurking above. And incoming CPI or inflation expectations data could make or break the dollar, if they lean enough in either direction.

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February 9, 2024 04:26 AM
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The USD dollar could take its cue from Powell’s 60-minute interview: The Week Ahead

60-minutes announced a pre-recorded interview with Jerome Powell will be aired at 19:00 on Sunday, which took place after the latest FOMC decision. And it can shape the tone for the US dollar, and therefore global markets, next week.

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February 2, 2024 02:58 AM
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Nasdaq reaches new record high, a week ahead of FOMC: The Week Ahead

Love it or loathe it, the rally on US indices has been impressive. Traders seem to be focussed on lower yields, slightly reduced bets of multiple Fed cuts and any other morsel of what can be repackaged as ‘good news’. But can it withstand incoming GDP figures, a PCE inflation report and an FOMC meeting without a wobble?

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January 25, 2024 03:34 AM
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USD dollar on track for first 3-week rally in 6 months: The Week Ahead

The US dollar is on track for its best three-week run in six months. Whilst the dollar index shows to the potential to pause for breath, a strong set of flash PMI and GDP figures next week could see the USD extend its dominance.

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January 19, 2024 03:11 AM
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Can the US dollar break out of its range? The Week Ahead

At the time of writing, the US dollar has printed its smallest weekly range since September 2021 at just 69 points. And that is quite remarkable when you consider it has landed on a US inflation report week. Yet daily seasonal data has reveal January 15th to have delivered the strongest average returns and win rate for the month. And that date so happens to be this coming Monday.

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January 12, 2024 05:21 AM
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The Week Ahead: Has the US Dollar Index Trend Turned?

The US Dollar Index's failed breakout and sharp bearish reversal suggests that a near-term top may be in and the path of least resistance will be to the downside in the coming week.