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EUR/USD in the hands of ECB, Powell Testimony, ISM services: The Week Ahead

EUR/USD is on track for its smallest weekly range since September 2021, although 1-week implied volatility levels that we could see more action next week.

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US dollar weakness might be short lived: The Week Ahead

The US dollar shows the potential to retrace some of the week's losses in light of hawkish Fed comments. Although attention now shifts to the US PCE inflation report, Australian CPI and RBNZ interest rate decision and press conference.

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February 23, 2024 05:43 AM
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The Week Ahead: S&P 500 Uptrend May Come Down to NVDA Earnings

Nvidia’s earnings will be a key hurdle to determine whether the S&P 500 uptrend can continue. See what else we'll be watching!

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February 16, 2024 05:04 PM

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Can US inflation data make or break the US dollar? The Week Ahead

Whist the daily charts still appear favourable for another leg higher on the US dollar, the weekly charts and market positioning suggest some dark clouds may lurking above. And incoming CPI or inflation expectations data could make or break the dollar, if they lean enough in either direction.

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February 9, 2024 04:26 AM
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The USD dollar could take its cue from Powell’s 60-minute interview: The Week Ahead

60-minutes announced a pre-recorded interview with Jerome Powell will be aired at 19:00 on Sunday, which took place after the latest FOMC decision. And it can shape the tone for the US dollar, and therefore global markets, next week.

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February 2, 2024 02:58 AM
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Nasdaq reaches new record high, a week ahead of FOMC: The Week Ahead

Love it or loathe it, the rally on US indices has been impressive. Traders seem to be focussed on lower yields, slightly reduced bets of multiple Fed cuts and any other morsel of what can be repackaged as ‘good news’. But can it withstand incoming GDP figures, a PCE inflation report and an FOMC meeting without a wobble?

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January 25, 2024 03:34 AM
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USD dollar on track for first 3-week rally in 6 months: The Week Ahead

The US dollar is on track for its best three-week run in six months. Whilst the dollar index shows to the potential to pause for breath, a strong set of flash PMI and GDP figures next week could see the USD extend its dominance.

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January 19, 2024 03:11 AM
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Can the US dollar break out of its range? The Week Ahead

At the time of writing, the US dollar has printed its smallest weekly range since September 2021 at just 69 points. And that is quite remarkable when you consider it has landed on a US inflation report week. Yet daily seasonal data has reveal January 15th to have delivered the strongest average returns and win rate for the month. And that date so happens to be this coming Monday.

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January 12, 2024 05:21 AM
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The Week Ahead: Has the US Dollar Index Trend Turned?

The US Dollar Index's failed breakout and sharp bearish reversal suggests that a near-term top may be in and the path of least resistance will be to the downside in the coming week.

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USD/JPY in focus for BOJ meeting and US inflation report: The Week Ahead

We're intrigued to see if US indices can continue to defy gravity and follow their seasonal tendency to post strong gains in the second half of December. But given the strength of the rally leading into their highs, bulls may want to be cautious of this Santa's rally. The two key events next week are the BOJ meeting and US PCE inflation report, which puts USD/JPY firmly in the sights of currency traders.

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December 15, 2023 01:26 AM

US CPI, FOMC, BOE, ECB and SNB on tap: The Week Ahead

Four major central banks meeting next week including the FOMC, ECB, BOE and SNB. While no changes are expected, traders want to know who may be the first to cut rates.

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December 7, 2023 02:56 AM
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Nonfarm payroll, ISM, BOC and RBA on tap: The Week Ahead – Dec 1, 2023

With traders more than happy to price in Fed cuts for 2024 where possible, they will be looking for further signs that the US economy is slowing but at a rate that does not scream recession. And this places US ISM services and the nonfarm payroll report into the limelight next week. China’s trade data and inflation figures may reveal whether Beijing need to step up support for the economy yet again. And whilst the RBA and BOC are expected to hold the cash rate steady at their monetary policy meetings, their statements may indicate how much of an appetite there is for further hikes in Q1.

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December 1, 2023 06:08 AM
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Crude oil steadies ahead of OPEC, US inflation in focus: The Week Ahead

Thanksgiving in the US has made for a very quiet second half to the week for traders, but with a key US inflation report and an OPEC meeting on tap then volatility is expected to return next week. Also note that Australia releases inflation figures which could be the deciding factor as to whether the RBA hold or hike at their final meeting of the year.

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November 24, 2023 01:16 AM
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Bond auctions could trump data next week: The Week Ahead

In what seems like a while, the US economic calendar is relatively quiet with no top tier events. But US bond auctions should be on trader’s radars as they provide a look at how strong demand is (or not) for the ultimate US safe-haven asset. And if demand is low, it could send yields higher and shake a few equity bulls out of the tree and generally weigh on risk sentiment. We also have the RBA minutes and a potentially ‘live’ speech for the governor to keep tabs on.

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November 17, 2023 03:32 AM
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S&P 500 hints at swing high following Powell’s hawkish speech: The Week Ahead

Hawkish comments from Jerome Powell with the threat of further hikes snapped Wall Street’s 8-day wining streak, and hints at a swing high on the S&P 500 heading into the weekend. And that puts traders on high alert for next week’s inflation report, not to mention the threat of a government shutdown if the debt ceiling is not raised by Friday.

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November 9, 2023 11:42 PM
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USD, yields retrace further, RBA meeting could be live: The Week Ahead

Bond yields continue to retrace for a second week with the US dollar, which has allowed risk assets to bounce from their lows. Whilst it has been a nice reprieve from negative sentiment, it remains debatable as to whether the supposed short-covering rally can switch to a risk-on phase. Tuesday’s RBA meeting is more than likely to be live, and that could help AUD/USD move higher from oversold levels.

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November 3, 2023 02:50 AM
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FOMC, BOJ and BOE on tap: The Week Ahead – 27/10/2023

We have a busy calendar with what would usually be ‘red flag’ days, including central bank meetings with the FOMC, BOJ and BOE. There’s a reasonable chance we’ll see no action across all three, but the bigger response for global markets could be if the BOJ widen or abandon their yield curve control (YCC).

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October 27, 2023 01:20 AM

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October 27, 2023 01:13 AM
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Big tech earnings, bond rout, US inflation and PMI reports collide. The week ahead

Event risk picks up a gear with big tech earnings, inflation readings from the US and Australia, rate decisions from the Eurozone and Canada and the latest PMI reports joining the mix, creating an environment that should provide ample opportunities for traders.

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October 20, 2023 04:59 AM
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Can bondcano stay on the backburner? The Week Ahead

Bondcano, the phrase coined to described the sharp acceleration of bond yields to the detriment of equities, appears to be smouldering as yields have pulled back from their highs. It has certainly provided some relief for sentiment, given the well-based concerns that something was about to break in the financial system. But with the Fed members now striking a relatively dovish tone, it raises the question as to whether bond investors will now step back into the market to capitalise on attractive yields and take the sting out of bondcano’s tail.

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October 15, 2023 09:33 PM
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EUR/USD Analysis: Mideast Turmoil Drives The Week Ahead – 06/17/2023

EUR/USD remains in a bearish channel amidst general strength in the greenback – potential for more downside in the coming week?

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October 13, 2023 03:55 PM
Research

EUR/USD tries to snap its record losing streak: The Week Ahead – 06/10/2023

EUR/USD is on track for a record 12th consecutive losing streak. But given its hesitancy to test 1.04 and the potential for a false break of the January low, perhaps we’re finally nearing an inflection point for the battered EUR/USD.

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October 8, 2023 03:05 AM