Core PCE

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ECI and PCE are hot for June. What does it mean for the Fed?

Today’s inflation data was higher than expected and the Fed is walking a thin line between lowering inflation and pushing growth lower.

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Core PCE not as bad as feared. But how much does it matter?

It probably won’t matter in isolation, as the Fed is now looking at a number of inflation data points to help determine the next direction for inflation in the US.

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June 30, 2022 04:33 PM
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Core PCE: Still the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation?

US Core PCE is due out this week and if it is similar to other recent inflation data, it may be stronger than expected.

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June 28, 2022 04:09 PM

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Core PCE still strong, but weaker than March

Although one reading isn’t considered a trend,it may be suggesting that inflation has plateaued.

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Core PCE levels off, but the ECI may have the Fed more concerned

Although the Core PCE may have eased slightly, it is still a cause for concern for the Fed at such an elevated level.

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April 29, 2022 03:24 PM

US Core PCE continues to rise; puts more pressure on Fed

As the Fed continues to catch up with the rest of the markets in realizing that inflation is indeed high, it now has another data point to refer to, Core PCE.

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March 31, 2022 04:32 PM
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US Core PCE still hot; Is 50 bps in the cards?

The Fed's favorite measure of inflation (Core PCE) was 5.2% YoY vs and expectation of 5% YoY and 4.9% YoY in December.

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February 25, 2022 04:28 PM

US Core PCE preview: The Fed’s interest rate decision hangs in the balance

Friday’s release is likely to lead to market volatility as market participants adjust to arguably the most important data release ahead of the Fed’s expected liftoff...

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Core PCE higher than expected; Fed also paying close attention to ECI

There' s a new sheriff in town that the Fed is focusing on: ECI (Employment Cost Index).

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January 28, 2022 05:14 PM
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Core PCE comes in much hotter than the Fed would like!

The Fed's favorite measure of inflation is more than double what they would like!

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November 24, 2021 04:52 PM
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Inflation, Inflation, Inflation

As inflation data continues to remain excessively high in the around the world, central banks are struggling to justify that a majority of the inflation is transitory

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October 29, 2021 03:58 PM

Post-Easter US data paints a downbeat outlook for near-term growth

It’s been an exceedingly slow start to the week with most of Europe out of the office for an extended holiday weekend, but trade is […]

FOMC Recap: Doves flying high as Fed drops two dots

As we noted in yesterday’s FOMC Preview report, any Fed fireworks wouldn’t come from the monetary policy decision per se, but rather how today’s meeting […]

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