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USDJPY Forecast: Key Levels for BOJ and FOMC Week

USDJPY Forecast: the anticipation of a tighter monetary policy at the next BOJ meeting has dominated oversold pressures on the USDJPY. Is there a reversal on the horizon?

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July 26, 2024 08:23 AM
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GBPUSD Outlook: Key Levels Ahead of BOE and Fed Polices

The GBPUSD has dipped below the crucial 1.29 level ahead of this week's final wave of volatility surrounding US GDP and Core PCE data, and in anticipation of next week’s BOE and Fed monetary policy decisions. Will bearish pressures continue?

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July 25, 2024 12:02 PM
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USDJPY Forecast: Japanese Inflation vs US Inflation

USDJPY Forecast: The US Dollar index steadies above 104 given an uncertain political atmosphere, but the USDJPY dips back near monthly lows amid monetary tightening expectations.

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EURUSD, DXY Analysis: Political Shifts vs PMI and PCE Week

EURUSD, DXY Analysis: the DXY and EURUSD are respecting potential consolidation boundaries, with the DXY back in the 104 zone, and the EURUSD back below 1.09.

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Crude Oil Forecast: Key Levels for the Week Ahead

Crude Oil Forecast: Oil is dropping further into its consolidation, following the steep drops of the commodities market

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July 21, 2024 02:00 PM
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GBPUSD Forecast: Key Levels for the Week Head

GBPUSD Forecast: The GBP/USD pair failed to sustain a close above the 1.3030 level. Current trends show bearish dominance, yet upcoming events next week will be crucial in determining whether the pair will continue its uptrend or face further declines.

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Crude Oil Forecast: Inventory Increase vs PCE Data

Crude Oil Forecast: latest inventory data surged up and oil prices are still ranging near 2-month highs

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Crude Oil Forecast: Analysis Update

Crude Oil Forecast: oil’s uptrend is facing challenges between resistance levels and inventory changes. What’s next for today’s inventory release?

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June 26, 2024 09:57 AM
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US Core PCE Preview: USD/JPY Flirts with 155 Ahead of Key US Inflation Report

Diverging interest rate expectations between the Federal Reserve and the rest of the developed world have been THE biggest story of the year for FX traders (USD/JPY in particular), and Friday’s Core PCE report will be the next major test to determine if that trend will carry over into Q2

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EUR/USD forecast: Bullish trend intact as key data eyed

The divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and ECB is likely to support the bullish EUR/USD forecast

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March 29, 2023 06:00 PM
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US Core PCE comes in stronger than expected; US Dollar bid

With the US Core PCE for January hotter than expected, the US Dollar is continuing its recent rise.

February 24, 2023 04:08 PM

Core PCE unlikely to sway Fed next week

The December Core PCE print was in-line with expectations. Therefore, markets remain comfortable with pricing in the 98% chance of a 25bps rate hike on Wednesday.

January 27, 2023 03:54 PM
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US data dump provides little new info for the Fed

Although Durable Goods was stronger than expected, there is little to take from the other data points, as it was from so long ago.

January 26, 2023 04:48 PM
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What does it mean for the Fed if Core PCE comes out weaker than expected?

If the print is “as expected”, will this be enough of a drop for the Fed to leave rates unchanged at its February meeting?

January 25, 2023 07:29 PM
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US Core PCE lower in September; USD continues lower

If Core PCE continues to fall over the coming months, the Fed may end up hiking rates less than it expects, or even cutting rates before the end of next year.

December 1, 2022 05:11 PM
Federal reserve name plaque on building

US Core PCE and ECI as expected. What does it mean for the FOMC next week?

Will the Fed consider an ECI reading of 1.2% to be “uncomfortably higher”? Also, the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation is back up to levels not seen since March.

October 28, 2022 04:11 PM
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US Core PCE and ECI as expected. What does it mean for the FOMC next week?

Will the Fed consider an ECI reading of 1.2% to be “uncomfortably higher”? Also, the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation is back up to levels not seen since March.

October 28, 2022 04:11 PM

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US Core PCE follows EU CPI higher

Markets are pricing in a 75bps rate hike for both central banks. However, the meetings not until the end of October and there is still a lot of data which can change rate hike expectations

September 30, 2022 04:01 PM
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ECI and PCE are hot for June. What does it mean for the Fed?

Today’s inflation data was higher than expected and the Fed is walking a thin line between lowering inflation and pushing growth lower.

July 29, 2022 04:43 PM
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Core PCE not as bad as feared. But how much does it matter?

It probably won’t matter in isolation, as the Fed is now looking at a number of inflation data points to help determine the next direction for inflation in the US.

June 30, 2022 04:33 PM
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Core PCE: Still the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation?

US Core PCE is due out this week and if it is similar to other recent inflation data, it may be stronger than expected.

June 28, 2022 04:09 PM
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Core PCE still strong, but weaker than March

Although one reading isn’t considered a trend,it may be suggesting that inflation has plateaued.

May 27, 2022 04:12 PM
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Core PCE levels off, but the ECI may have the Fed more concerned

Although the Core PCE may have eased slightly, it is still a cause for concern for the Fed at such an elevated level.

April 29, 2022 03:24 PM