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Nasdaq’s bullish signal may deliver upside for the Nikkei 225

While the Nasdaq 100 has broken its 2024 uptrend, traders continue to buy the dip, generating a bullish signal on Thursday. That points to possible upside not only for US tech but also Japan’s Nikkei 225.

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April 12, 2024 03:28 AM

USD/JPY, AUD/USD: Bonds just delivered a message to traders about the US inflation report

Bond markets make the financial markets go round, so when they provide a strong signal on how Wednesday’s US consumer price inflation report may be interpreted, every trader should sit up and take notice.

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April 10, 2024 02:09 AM

Equities weekly forecast: US Banks kick-off Q1 earnings season

US banks kick off Q1 earnings season on Friday, with JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and BlackRock reporting. The results come as the US economy continues to show resilience but as sticky inflation could mean that rates stay high for longer. Delta Airline is also releasing Q1 numbers.

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April 7, 2024 09:46 PM

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Stocks weekly forecast: GE, Nike and Gold miners in focus

The S&P 500 rose to an all-time high last week. This week, attention will be on US non-farm payrolls, global PMIs, and Gold prices and what they mean for equities such as GE, Nike and Newmont Corporation.

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March 31, 2024 12:22 PM
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Nasdaq 100, ASX 200 weekly forecast: Record highs right there but will traders boost bullish bets?

Two very different indices, two similar trading setups. Will traders be willing to continue chasing record highs next week? The unconvincing price action to end the week warns of downside risks.

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March 22, 2024 09:56 PM
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Reddit IPO: Everything you need to know about trading Reddit

Find out everything we know about the Reddit IPO including the date, share price, valuation and how to trade Reddit stock.

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March 21, 2024 04:05 AM
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Gold, USD/JPY, TLT ETF: Assessing trade setups for a Fed determined to cut rates

A macro guide for screening trade setups for a higher growth, higher inflation environment, featuring a bullish breakout, a potential bullish breakout and an important market indicator.

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March 21, 2024 02:08 AM
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Bad news for long bond bulls following bearish break

Long bond bulls will not like the message coming from the recent price action in the TLT ETF, warning of the potential for higher yields and increased capital losses. With little technical support below where it currently sits, it places even more importance on the Fed chooses to signal this week.


Nikkei 225 longs favoured into BOJ and Fed rate decisions, Nvidia GPU conference

Recent price action in Nikkei 225 futures points to upside risks this week, indicating confidence among traders that even with major events such as rate decisions from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve, along with Nvidia’s GPU Technology Conference, the bull market that helped propel the underlying index to record highs is anything but finished.

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March 17, 2024 11:23 PM

Fed must commit to finishing the inflation fight to prevent gold upside

Gold traders have a decision to make with fundamental headwinds building from a stronger US dollar and higher bond yields with the price yet to meaningfully respond. What the Fed signals next week looms as crucial for directional risks.

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March 15, 2024 01:38 AM

Big session for ASX bulls as uptrend support gives way

Friday looms as an important day on the directional risks for Australia’s ASX 200 with futures puncturing through uptrend support overnight dating back to when the Fed pivoted away from rate hikes in early November. Recent history suggests it may pay to wait to see whether the break sticks.

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March 14, 2024 10:07 PM

Born of pessimism and now scepticism, Chinese stocks are on the cusp of bull markets

Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on scepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. The stealth rally in China's A50 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng is keeping to the script.

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March 13, 2024 01:30 AM

US inflation report key for potential bullish bond breakout

Longer-dated US bonds are threatening to break higher into what’s arguably the most important US CPI report in nearly a year. What happens next will be important for broader financial markets given the implications for global borrowing costs.


Soft US CPI amplifies downside risk for US yields, USD/JPY and Nikkei

USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 futures have been heavily influenced by US bond yields recently, meaning Tuesday’s US consumer price inflation report looms as critical for how Japanese markets may fare over the short to medium term. The bias for all remains lower in the absence of another hot inflation number.

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March 12, 2024 02:34 AM
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March 7, 2024 05:03 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Downside ducks lining up as US bonds go bid

Where US long bond yields have moved in 2023, USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 have tended to follow. Right now, the risks for each are building to the downside.

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March 7, 2024 02:15 AM

Nasdaq 100, AAPL Forecast: Can NDX Extend Its Rally without Apple?

The Nasdaq 100 ostensibly digested yesterday’s dip well, potentially setting the stage for a continuation to new all-time highs, but…

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March 6, 2024 07:50 PM

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Lows may be in for Chinese stocks as bear market downtrends give way

The bear market in Chinese equities may be coming a state-endorsed end with A50 futures breaking the downtrend dating back to early 2021 earlier this week. The 200-day moving average may be the next bearish indicator to give way, bolstering the view that the lows may have already been seen.

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March 6, 2024 05:47 AM

Gold eyeing record highs as inflation expectations heat up

Gold is contemplating a thrust towards record highs after logging the highest close on record last Friday. With little visible technical resistance evident on the charts, whether it gets there will likely come down to what happens with the US dollar and bond yields over the coming days.

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March 4, 2024 01:38 AM

Hang Seng, China A50 seeking fresh bullish catalysts to power market recovery

China’s state-endorsed equity market recovery continues to go from strength to strength, building upon a lengthy and growing list of measures being rolled out by policymakers designed to coerce traders into buying. Perhaps the broader bear market trend may be coming to an end?

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February 22, 2024 01:21 AM

Ducks have lined up for Nikkei 225 to test its 1989 high

If there was ever a day for Japan’s Nikkei 225 to overcome its demons and take out the record high set in December 1989, few screen better than today. The ducks look to have lined up for bulls. If we can’t set a new peak, it may provide a subtle warning that the market has run too hard, too fast.

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February 21, 2024 10:54 PM

USD/JPY reclaims 150 as US yields push higher into producer price inflation report

Look no further than relative central bank interest rate expectations if you’re wondering what’s driving USD/JPY right now. The pair is moving in lockstep with US two-year Treasury note yields, running with a positive correlation of 0.96 on the daily over the past month.

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February 16, 2024 02:15 AM
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AUD/USD, ASX 200 rapid rebound gathers pace despite warning from rates markets

Despite lacklustre corporate earnings and rebound in US bond yields, the spectacular rally in AUD/USD and Australia’s ASX 200 only gathered pace in the second half of Thursday’s trading session, leaving both markets eyeing off potential topside breaks.

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February 15, 2024 11:33 PM