Fiona Cincotta
Fiona Cincotta
Senior Market Analyst
Expertise: Macroeconomics, Fundamental & Technical Analysis, Media
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ muted after retail sales drop
US stocks are pointing to a quiet start as investors await more details on trade tariffs and amid rising concerns over the health of the US consumer. Retail sales fell -0.9% MoM worse than the -0.1% decline forecast. Stocks are set to rise across the week, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 near record highs as trade war fears ease.
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises despite Trump's tariff warning & hotter PPI data
After a mixed close yesterday, US stocks are heading for a mildly positive start as investors continue to weigh inflation data, hopes of Russia-Ukraine peace talks, and worries over more trade tariffs from Trump. US PPI was hotter than expected rising 3.5% YoY. This comes after yesterday's hotter CPI print.
GBP/USD, DAX Forecast: Two trades to watch
GBP/USD rises after Q4 GDP grows, defying expectations of a contraction. DAX rises to a record high on Ukraine peace talks optimism.
S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls after hotter CPI data
US stocks are set to open sharply lower after US inflation came in hotter than expected, pushing back Fed rate cut expectations. US CPI rose 3% year on year in January, above expectations that it would have matched the December pace of 2.9%. The market now sees one 25 basis point cut this year.
GBP/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
GBP/USD rises ahead of US CPI data. Oil falls ahead of EIA stockpile & US CPI data.
S&P 500 Forecast: SPX slips ahead of Powell's testimony
US stocks point to a modestly lower start on Tuesday amid a cautious mood as investors await Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell’s semiannual testimony before Congress. The market will look for Powell's insights on tariffs and their impact on inflation in the world's largest economy. Given the inflation picture and resilient jobs market, Powell's comments are unlikely to be dovish.
GBP/USD, DAX Forecast: Two trades to watch
GBP/USD falls ahead of key speeches from BoE's Bailey & Fed Chair Powell. DAX hovers at record highs as trade tensions rise.
Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises despite more trade tariffs
US stocks point to a higher open on Monday, recovering from last week's modest declines. Steelmakers were at the top of the leaderboard following President Trump's tariff announcements. The new President announced 25% trade tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports on top of existing tariffs. The market reaction has been relatively muted with stocks gaining and the USD lower. Although Gold trades at a record level.
EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD is steady ahead of Lagarde & as trade tariff worries linger. Oil shrugs off the latest trade escalation.
Weekly equities outlook: Barclays, NatWest and BP
UK lenders start to report earnings this week with Barclays, NatWest and oil major BP.
S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted as trade worries ease & ahead of Amazon earnings
US stocks enter a muted open as investors' focus shifts back to earnings and US data as trade war fears subside. US jobless claims and Challenger job cuts were higher than expected ahead of tomorrow's non-farm payroll report. Amazon will report after the close and attention will be squarely on the cloud business and AI after Alphabet and Microsoft disappointed.