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Forex Friday: It is all about the pound

In this week’s edition, we discuss the pound’s extreme volatility amid the BoE’s intervention and government’s questionable policy response to soaring cost of living crisis in the UK.

S&P 500 reaches new lows for 2022

On January 4th the S&P 500 reached a record high of 4820.2. Today, the large cap index made a new low for the year, reaching an intra-day low of 3620.2, a fall of nearly 25% so far this year!

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September 27, 2022 09:06 PM
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Nothing changes for gold, stocks as yields resume higher

Bearish trend persist for indices and metals as investors watch yields continue to rise following a flurry of central bank action this week.

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Could tomorrow's Michigan Consumer Sentiment be the key for the FOMC’s decision next week?

If the inflation components are higher than expected, watch for a possible tape-bomb from the Wall Street Journal that the Fed is “more likely” to hike 100bps.

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September 15, 2022 08:01 PM
Research

Higher oil and bond yields could benefit CAD/JPY

A combination of favourable yield differentials, higher oil prices and a bullish consolidation on CAD/JPY suggest it could break to new highs in due course.

July housing data concludes on a mixed note; waiting on Jackson Hole

July housing data finished up this week with worse than expected New Home Sales and better than expected Pending Home Sales.

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Gold attempts breakout as yields dip

Investors appear convinced the Fed will slow down rate hikes despite officials indicating otherwise.

Federal reserve Eagle

Fed speakers out in force with more hawkish tone; USD/JPY

The correlation between USD/JPY and 10-year yields has come back in line and is almost in “strong” territory on the daily timeframe.

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August 3, 2022 03:48 PM
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Gold, dollar steady ahead of ISM services PMI as yields push higher

Let’s see if today’s US data or Fed speeches will cause more volatility in bond – and, in turn, gold – prices.

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August 3, 2022 12:54 PM
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All eyes on bond yields ahead of FOMC

In the eyes of bond markets, the front-loading of interest rate hikes will potentially lead to a recession.

Screen showing share price of 22,450

Stocks slump, yields surge as recession worries add to inflation woes

Risk was completely off the menu at the start of a busy week for central bank action

Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes

US Yields on the move again. What does it mean for USD/JPY?

US 10-year yields and USD/JPY have a strong, positive correlation with a correlation coefficient of +0.92.

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June 6, 2022 07:37 PM
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Gold: Now or Never

With everything going on in equities space, gold may finally rise from the ashes and shine

Close-up of market chart showing downtrend

Nasdaq limping as yields press higher

Sentiment remains fragile following the big sell-off on Thursday

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May 6, 2022 01:04 PM
Graph showing a slow uptrend

After a strong March, US 10-year yields and USD/JPY may be ready for a pullback

As a result of the high correlation with USD/JPY, yields have been pulling USD/JPY higher with them.

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March 31, 2022 07:21 PM
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European Open: A (technical) case for a pullback in yields

As bond yields move inversely to bond prices, it should be taken note of that the US 10-year note has just tested a key level of support.

Research

Will the bond market meltdown be the undoing of the S&P500?

U.S. yields have surged higher again this week to their highest level since May 2019, after Fed Chair Powell opened the door to a 50bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting, causing fresh pain for global bond markets.

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Powell’s comments send yields and USD/JPY to multi-year highs

In Powell’s first comments since the press conference after the FOMC meeting last week, he comes across as extremely hawkish.

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March 21, 2022 06:18 PM
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CPI Preview: Is inflation close to peaking?

After a surge to 7% YoY for December, CPI is expected to have increase to 7.3% YoY in January.

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February 8, 2022 07:48 PM

Bonds - the new hot potato? EUR/JPY probes key support

Bond traders continued to offload their holdings and send shimmers across global markets. EUR/USD also broke key support, so now will EUR/JPY follow suit?

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European Open: Bond yields march higher, 1.1386 pivotal for EUR/USD

Bond traders seem to be fully on board with the Fed’s hawkish rhetoric, with the US yield curve continuing its ascent overnight as they offloaded their holdings.

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January 18, 2022 06:04 AM

Why Article 50 is no big deal for the pound

The government has confirmed that Article 50 will be triggered on Wednesday 29th March, just before Theresa May’s self-imposed deadline of the end of Q1. […]

Forget Brexit talk, its Trump that really matters for the pound this week

On an otherwise quiet Monday, the pound is the worst performer in the G10 FX space so far today. The trigger was two news reports […]