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Be cautious chasing COMEX copper higher with big bears lurking above $5
The upside in copper flagged last week has played out nicely, delivering a fresh contract high for the red metal on COMEX futures. However, the price action over the latter parts of this week has not been convincing, warning of growing near-term downside risk.
AUD/USD, ASX 200 eye a solid close for the week: Asian Open
AUD/USD and the ASX 200 have flourished this week thanks to renewed bets of Fed cuts, even though softer employment and wages data for Australia rekindled hopes of a lower RBA cash rate.
USD/CAD outlook dims as US data deteriorates further
The USD/CAD was back at the point of origin of Wednesday’s breakdown at 1.3630-1.3650 area. Could we see the Loonie head lower from here? This week’s disappointing US data certainly point to a dimmer USD/CAD outlook.
Trade ideas
EURUSD Forecast: ECB Financial Review Meets April Highs
EURUSD Forecast: the pair is back up to April highs; are March highs next in sight?
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ steadies after jobless claims, Fed speak
US stocks pause for breath after yesterday's rally following cooler CPI data. While the data boosted rate cut optimism, NY Fed President Williams warned that more evidence of inflation cooling was needed in order to cut rates. Separately, Walmart is set to open sharply higher after beating earnings and revenue forecasts.
EUR/USD outlook remains positive, likely heading to 1.10
Despite the slow start to today’s session, the recent price action and improving eurozone sentiment suggests the EUR/USD outlook remains positive, with the exchange rate on course to potentially head towards the 1.10 handle.
USD/JPY, DAX Forecast: Two trades to watch
USD/JPY falls post-CPI & with jobless claims up next. DAX reaches record high as US CPI euphoria spreads.
GBP/USD: Trade setups for today’s important US jobless claims update
US jobless claims data will garner far more interest than usual later Thursday as traders assess whether last week’s unusually large increase was an anomaly or start of a new trend. Testing a key level on the charts, two-way risk created by the data makes GBP/USD a pair to keep on the radar.
Bitcoin bounces in style as Wall Street hits new highs
On Tuesday I outlined a bullish case for bitcoin futures whilst prices remained above $60k. One soft US CPI and retail sales report later, bullish range expansion has most certainly kicked in.
AUD/USD, AUD/JPY: Soft jobs report extinguishes risk of further RBA rate hikes
With unemployment spiking and broader measures of labour market slack increasing, the risk of strong wages growth sparking renewed inflationary pressures looks to have past.
AUD/USD breaks out, USD/JPY rolls over amidst worst day of 2024 for USD
The US dollar suffered its worst day of the year and Fed fund futures now imply with near certainty that the Fed will cut by September. And that saw AUD/USD breakout in style and USD/JPY roll over, breaking below two handles on Wednesday.
It’s time to reassess the US dollar outlook
With US economic data delivering negative surprises at rates not seen over a year, with signs disinflationary forces are growing, it’s time for a rethink on the outlook for the US dollar. The era of selling rips rather than buying dips may be upon us.
Silver analysis: Precious metal about to break $30 barrier
Following the release of more disappointing US data, silver now looks poised to hit that key $30 level and potentially rise far beyond that level, if the recent gains by gold and copper are anything to go by.
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