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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rebounds as big tech recovers & inflation is in focus

U.S. stocks point to a higher start as they recover from the weakness over the past few sessions, which saw the S&P 500 fall to a six-month low. An improved market mood and optimism of a soft landing helped lift stocks even as inflation was stickier than expected. Core PCE, the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation, remained at 2.6% YoY but personal spending remained solid at 0.2%,

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Yesterday 02:32 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ pares losses after stronger GDP data

U.S. stocks have halted the deep sell-off. Better-than-expected economic growth in the second quarter helped to ease fears that the Fed may need to rush rate cuts to prevent a recession. Personal spending, the key driver for the US economy, was stronger than expected, and PCE cooled. The modest move higher comes after the Nasdaq experienced its worst one-day selloff yesterday since 2022.

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July 25, 2024 02:17 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls after Tesla & Alphabet earnings underwhelm

U.S. stocks are to open sharply lower after Tesla and Alphabet's earnings underwhelmed. Tesla's net income almost halved to $1.47bn vs. the $1.9 bn forecast. Alphabet beat on earnings and revenue, but YouTube ad revenue missed forecasts. The selloff in Alphabet highlights how high the bar has been set.

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July 24, 2024 02:43 PM

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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ steady with US elections & earnings in focus

U.S. stocks are rising, adding to yesterday's gains as US elections remain in focus and earnings season ramps up. Kamala Harris appears to get the backing of the Democrats. Attention is also on Tesla and Alphabet ahead of their earnings release after the close. Tesla traded up 25% in July, and Alphabet is up 30% this year, so expectations are high.

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July 23, 2024 02:38 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises after Biden steps down from election race

U.S. stocks rose on Monday as the market considered the latest developments surrounding the US elections and Republican nominee Donald Trump's odds of a second term as President. Biden announced that he was stepping down from the race, endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris. The market is also looking to earnings & core PCE inflation data later in the week.

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July 22, 2024 03:12 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls further from its record high, Netflix gains

U.S. stocks point to a mixed open at the end of a choppy week for the markets. The sell-off in tech stocks and mega-cap growth stocks appears to have steadied after a week, which has seen investors rotate away from the sector. Netflix is set to open higher after beating Q2 earnings and revenue forecasts and impressive subscriber numbers. Q3 guidance disappointed.

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July 19, 2024 02:23 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises as chip stocks & mega caps recover

U.S. stocks are pointing to a broadly positive start following upbeat forecasts from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, which helped lift chip stocks and mega caps following a sharp sell-off yesterday. Rotation out of tech, concerns over curbs on chips to China, and jitters ahead of earnings hit tech on Wednesday. Today, US jobless claims were higher than forecast, pointing to some softness in the jobs market. Netflix reports after the close.

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July 18, 2024 02:12 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises despite stronger than expected retail sales

U.S. stocks are set to rise modestly on the open as the Trump trade continues, and investors digest comments from Fed Powell, including the latest US retail sales and earnings. Retail sales ex-autos rose 0.4%, reversing a trend of falling sales. Earnings continue to roll in with BAC and MS beating forecasts.

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July 16, 2024 02:45 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises with Trump & Fed Powell in focus

U.S. stocks point to a higher start as traders assess the implications of an assassination attempt on former U.S. President Donald Trump and ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell later today. Earnings are also in focus with numbers from Goldman Sachs and BalackRock.

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July 15, 2024 02:39 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises as banks kick off Q2 earnings season

U.S. stocks point to a modestly stronger start as investors digest hotter-than-expected producer price inflation and the start of earnings season. JP Morgan & Citigroup impressed, while Wells Fargo Group posted disappointing net interest income. PPI was hotter than expected, serving as a reminder of how fragile the inflation outlook is.

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July 12, 2024 03:22 PM
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Nasdaq100 Forecast: QQQ rises as cooling inflation lifts Fed rate cut expectations

U.S. stocks are pointing to a higher start after US inflation data showed consumer prices cooled further in June, easing to 3% YoY from 3.3%. Core inflation also eased by more than expected to 3.3%. The market has ramped up rate cut expectations and is pricing in an 87% chance of a September rate cut. The Nasdaq100 and S&P500 rose to record highs.

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July 11, 2024 02:05 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises boosted by the Fed's outlook

U.S. stocks are pointing to a higher start, with the S&P500 and NASDAQ 100 at all-time highs as investors await Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell's second testimony this week. Fed Powell said that the economy is no longer overheated, raising expectations for a September rate cut. Megacaps and AI stocks are set to rise further, and banks will be in focus ahead of earnings on Friday.

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July 10, 2024 02:18 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises ahead of Powell's testimony

U.S. stocks point to a higher start as the market looks cautiously ahead to testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The market will be looking for further cues on when the Fed might start to cut interest rates. His testimony comes after a series of weak data last week and ahead of inflation data on Thursday.

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July 9, 2024 02:18 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX edges higher ahead of Powell & CPI data later this week

US stocks are pointing to a modestly positive start after strong gains last week; the Nasdaq 100 and S&P500 hover around record highs, boosted by optimism that the Federal Reserve could start to cut interest rates as soon as September. The economic calendar is quiet today, but Federal Reserve Chair Powell testifies before the Senate Banking Committee this week. US CPI data will also be in focus.

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July 8, 2024 02:02 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises after signs of a weaker jobs market

U.S. stocks are heading higher after US non-farm payroll data pointed to a cooling labor market. The NFP report showed that 206,000 jobs were added in June, slightly ahead of the forecast of 190,000. However, the previous two months also saw a combined downward revision of 111,000, and unemployment rose to 4.1%.

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July 5, 2024 02:25 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ falls in cautious trade ahead of Powell

U.S. stocks are pointing to a lower open on Tuesday amid elevated treasury yields and in cautious trade ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell later today. The market will be watching for clues over when the Fed may start to cut interest rates, particularly after recent data that has pointed to a softening in the economy and inflation.

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July 2, 2024 02:19 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA kicks off Q3 modestly higher

US stocks are set for a modestly higher start as Q43 kicks off. This week, US non-farm payroll data, a speech by Fed Chair Powell, and the release of the FOMC minutes will be in focus and could provide further clues over when the Fed could start cutting rates. The market has raised rate cut expectations after Friday's core PCE data showed inflation cooling to a 3-year low.

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July 1, 2024 02:12 PM

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rise as inflation cools in line with forecasts

U.S. stocks are pointing to a stronger start after the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation slowed in May, supporting the case for a rate cut this year. The market is also digesting the first presidential debate, which saw Trump emerge as the clear winner and raised questions over Biden's ability to run for another term.

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June 28, 2024 02:50 PM
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S&P500 Forecast SPX is flat after a mixed data drop, MU disappoints

U.S. stocks are pointing to a higher start as investors digest the latest jobs and GDP data from the US and disappointing guidance from Micron Technologies. The mood is cautious ahead of tomorrow’s core PCE data tomorrow.

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June 27, 2024 02:36 PM
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Nasdaq100 Forecast: QQQ falls as treasury yields rise

U.S. stocks are set to open lower, giving back gains from the previous session, as investors digest Federal Reserve officials' comments and await fresh catalysts later in the week. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman warned that the central bank may not need to cut rates this year. Meanwhile, Nvidia is extending its recovery after rising 6% yesterday.

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June 26, 2024 02:41 PM
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Nasdaq100 Forecast: QQQ rises as Nvidia rebounds & Fed speakers are in focus

U.S. stocks point to a higher open on Tuesday as Nvidia and other AI stocks rise following yesterday's sell-off and as investors wait for further clues over monetary policy from Federal Reserve officials. The rally in the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 returns, but the Dow Jones lags behind its peers. Nvidia rises after falling 13% over the past three sessions.

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June 25, 2024 02:57 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of Friday's inflation data

U.S. stocks point to a mixed open, with the S&P 500 and the Dow edging higher, while the NASDAQ points to a weaker start ahead of key inflation data on Friday. The market is pricing in two rare cuts this year while the Fed projects one. Nvidia is set to open lower, extending its selloff from Friday. The stock briefly overtook Microsoft as the world's most valuable company. The US economic calendar is quiet today.

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June 24, 2024 02:15 PM
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Nasdaq100 Forecast: QQQ rises ahead of PMI data

U.S. stocks are heading for a quiet open as Nvidia loses ground, and investors look cautiously ahead to PMI data. Nvidia is falling after reaching another ATH this week, pushing the S&P500 and Nasdaq to ATHs. US economic data has shown signs of softening, and the PMI data today is expected to continue this theme.

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June 21, 2024 02:30 PM