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recession
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Black swan events: how does black swan theory affect trading?
A black swan event can have a devastating impact on the markets and is next to impossible to predict. So how should you deal with black swans when trading?
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European Open: The USD is back on the ropes as ISM renews recession fears
Weak PMI and ISM data has renewed concerns of a US recession, which saw the 10-year – 3-month hit its most negative level since the 80’s.
![Downward trend](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend-4.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=16927EA048550BA8F1F1F0E6CCCF0D89)
Economic depression vs recession: preparing for financial downturns
An economic depression is more severe and long-lasting than a recession, but both can wreak havoc on financial markets. Find out what the difference between a depression and recession is, and how you can prepare for a longer economic decline.
![Research](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/uptrend-2-v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=DA25CDF1A644B345D1E77AF7318327DE)
Growth concerns replace inflation woes
…But stock markets keep on rising for now.
![downtrend chart](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend-2v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=177E5B576A6B2CA8313D70714A1CABE4)
Things go from bad to worse for US stocks
Incoming economic data from the US continues to weaken, raising fears over an economic slowdown
![Close-up of market chart showing downtrend](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=3882D432AE715707E9AC36A2BDDD6A10)
Recession worries grow in busy week for earnings and central banks
Poor PMI data underscore the challenges central banks face at a time when inflation remains very high
![Close-up of market chart showing downtrend](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=3882D432AE715707E9AC36A2BDDD6A10)
Recession worries grow in busy week for earnings and central banks
Poor PMI data underscore the challenges central banks face at a time when inflation remains very high
![Research](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/uptrend-2-v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=DA25CDF1A644B345D1E77AF7318327DE)
GBP/USD could revisit 1.25 as US recession confirmed
GDP was quite poor, so there won’t be a hattrick of 75 basis point hikes in September, that’s for sure.
![Market trader analysing data](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/trader-1.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=E6E053AFEA0DC0CC709675E4BF7B38BF)
US yield curve sees its deepest inversion since 2000: What does it mean for major markets?
If traders don’t have this scenario in their minds, they’re ignoring one of the biggest risk in markets right now...
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Oil takes a hit as recession and Covid fears loom
The German ZEW and the continued on again/off again lockdowns in China are contributing to fears of a global slowdown or recession.
![Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex7.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=7EFD378CEF3BA16A12264C05589B5917)
EUR/JPY pushes lower as recession fears set in
In addition to EUR/USD moving lower, EUR/JPY could continue lower as well, as the Yen is also considered a safe haven currency.
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European stocks and economy vulnerable
Nothing has changed fundamentally to suggest the markets have bottomed out
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US stocks drop as another consumer confidence barometer plunges
The slump in confidence was driven by a plunge in 'expectations' sub-index
![Bank notes of different currencies](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex4.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=735BF2029B373630C408C2F5DDF3BF13)
Two trades to watch: FTSE, EUR/USD
FTSE edges lower with G7 is focus. EUR/USD rises on USD weakness
![Close-up of stock market board](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/stocks2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=82DFC951F8DC432666A415CCB96F70FE)
Poor PMIs underpin recession worries
This is the latest macro data to underscore worries about a sharp economic slowdown
![Molten metal](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/commodities7.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=EFA1B31056A61DA5AFB65D856C02D0D7)
Dr Copper chimes in on the recession debate
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States and operates under a dual mandate to effectively promote the goals of maximum employment while maintaining price stability.
![Research](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend-2v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=177E5B576A6B2CA8313D70714A1CABE4)
The S&P 500 may have bounced, but the backdrop remains bleak
The S&P 500 rallied as a retracement gets underway. But that doesn’t change the fact that the bigger picture remains bleak for the bull camp further out.
![Close-up of market chart showing downtrend](/en-sg/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=3882D432AE715707E9AC36A2BDDD6A10)
Why you should watch the Baltic Dry Index as recession fears grow
The Baltic Dry Index has proven to be a reliable indicator of future global economic activity and could prove a useful tool amid the uncertain outlook.