![News hero gradient](/en-au/-/media/project/gain-capital/city-index/heros/news/news-article-lp-hero.jpg?h=278&iar=0&w=1920&hash=2106BEFFC875574DF2A687013745527E)
recession
Stay in step with market opportunities and get insights, actionable trade ideas and dedicated support.
Sort by:
- Newest
- Popular
![recession_01](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/recession/recession_01.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=F8EAE0FC5AE5D355E85E1125EB7F593E)
Black swan events: how does black swan theory affect trading?
A black swan event can have a devastating impact on the markets and is next to impossible to predict. So how should you deal with black swans when trading?
![](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/charts5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=86DF4564D84A3ECD6D775A621F0E1E15)
European Open: The USD is back on the ropes as ISM renews recession fears
Weak PMI and ISM data has renewed concerns of a US recession, which saw the 10-year – 3-month hit its most negative level since the 80’s.
![Downward trend](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend-4.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=6714196C41CB469F5EC54AE8FA69AEA6)
Economic depression vs recession: preparing for financial downturns
An economic depression is more severe and long-lasting than a recession, but both can wreak havoc on financial markets. Find out what the difference between a depression and recession is, and how you can prepare for a longer economic decline.
![Research](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/uptrend-2-v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=DD6A19CD0F11C3BD981230847FCD7DC4)
Growth concerns replace inflation woes
…But stock markets keep on rising for now.
![downtrend chart](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend-2v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=93C2C6BC7B13A360F6A29587142A4476)
Things go from bad to worse for US stocks
Incoming economic data from the US continues to weaken, raising fears over an economic slowdown
![Close-up of market chart showing downtrend](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=295D48F9942E924941C0C71459F96DB7)
Recession worries grow in busy week for earnings and central banks
Poor PMI data underscore the challenges central banks face at a time when inflation remains very high
![Close-up of market chart showing downtrend](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=295D48F9942E924941C0C71459F96DB7)
Recession worries grow in busy week for earnings and central banks
Poor PMI data underscore the challenges central banks face at a time when inflation remains very high
![Research](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/uptrend-2-v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=DD6A19CD0F11C3BD981230847FCD7DC4)
GBP/USD could revisit 1.25 as US recession confirmed
GDP was quite poor, so there won’t be a hattrick of 75 basis point hikes in September, that’s for sure.
![Market trader analysing data](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/trader-1.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=CE5CADEF05EF21ED2A855FCF723F176E)
US yield curve sees its deepest inversion since 2000: What does it mean for major markets?
If traders don’t have this scenario in their minds, they’re ignoring one of the biggest risk in markets right now...
![](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/energy5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=C4D1C84B46F2741AE8AD9B6EA146A0DE)
Oil takes a hit as recession and Covid fears loom
The German ZEW and the continued on again/off again lockdowns in China are contributing to fears of a global slowdown or recession.
![Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex7.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=828395EC0D3B03A1163C5D9746D0CC63)
EUR/JPY pushes lower as recession fears set in
In addition to EUR/USD moving lower, EUR/JPY could continue lower as well, as the Yen is also considered a safe haven currency.
![Feature image of stock market figures and indices](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/stocks1v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=CEEAEDDD4AFA6608C4481E3B80B98B94)
European stocks and economy vulnerable
Nothing has changed fundamentally to suggest the markets have bottomed out
![USA flag](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/usa1.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=D5F4F7D639FF12A79727694E5D233175)
US stocks drop as another consumer confidence barometer plunges
The slump in confidence was driven by a plunge in 'expectations' sub-index
![Bank notes of different currencies](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex4.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=F67382A26566536EE0ADBE2BDDE846B0)
Two trades to watch: FTSE, EUR/USD
FTSE edges lower with G7 is focus. EUR/USD rises on USD weakness
![Close-up of stock market board](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/stocks2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=FC4F07D957EC43B5F60AAA54C5B4D2E1)
Poor PMIs underpin recession worries
This is the latest macro data to underscore worries about a sharp economic slowdown
![Molten metal](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/commodities7.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=AD1D98B790988F2F50134C5C3062A719)
Dr Copper chimes in on the recession debate
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States and operates under a dual mandate to effectively promote the goals of maximum employment while maintaining price stability.
![Research](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend-2v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=93C2C6BC7B13A360F6A29587142A4476)
The S&P 500 may have bounced, but the backdrop remains bleak
The S&P 500 rallied as a retracement gets underway. But that doesn’t change the fact that the bigger picture remains bleak for the bull camp further out.
![Close-up of market chart showing downtrend](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=295D48F9942E924941C0C71459F96DB7)
Why you should watch the Baltic Dry Index as recession fears grow
The Baltic Dry Index has proven to be a reliable indicator of future global economic activity and could prove a useful tool amid the uncertain outlook.