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AUD/USD outlook: RBNZ, US and AU CPI to drive the Australian dollar

It could be an interesting week for the Australian dollar if caught between the crossfire of the RBNZ meeting, Fed talk and US inflation data. We also have an Australian inflation report to throw into the mix for good measure.

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February 25, 2024 08:00 AM
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US dollar weakness might be short lived: The Week Ahead

The US dollar shows the potential to retrace some of the week's losses in light of hawkish Fed comments. Although attention now shifts to the US PCE inflation report, Australian CPI and RBNZ interest rate decision and press conference.

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February 23, 2024 05:43 AM

NZD/USD: What one hawkish forecaster giveth, 38 dovish forecasters taketh away

Having surged Friday on the back of a forecast from ANZ looking for an additional two hikes from the RBNZ, the NZD/USD has now given back those gains back following the latest RBNZ inflation expectation survey. What one hawkish forecaster giveth, 38 dovish forecasters have taketh away.

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February 13, 2024 04:43 AM

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NZD/USD eyes downtrend test as thoughts shift to China’s stock market rescue

A late flurry of buying after New Zealand’s jobs report sent NZD/USD to the top of the G10 FX leaderboard on Tuesday, leaving in on track for another retest of the downtrend it’s been stuck in throughout the entirety of 2024.

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February 6, 2024 10:53 PM

NZD/USD: RBNZ not willing to join the pivot party just yet

Hold off on your imminent RBNZ rate cut bets, because if the tone of the bank’s chief economist on Tuesday is anything to go by, it appears to have little interest in pivoting towards rate cuts as other major central banks have.

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January 30, 2024 12:25 AM

NZD/USD pops on confirmation New Zealand has a homegrown inflation problem

New Zealand has a homegrown inflation problem like Australia, limiting the likelihood of a near-term interest rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBNZ) in the absence of a n abrupt global economic downturn. The NZD/USD is bid as rate cut bets are trimmed.

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January 23, 2024 10:31 PM
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NZD/USD: Rising labour market slack points to soft wages and no more RBNZ rate hikes

NZD/USD is falling in the wake of a soft New Zealand employment report, reinforcing the view that when the RBNZ next moves interest rates, it’s far more likely to be a cut than hike.

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October 31, 2023 10:28 PM

NZD/USD: Inflation undershoot opens the door to RBNZ rate cuts next year

New Zealand inflationary pressures moderated-more-than expected in the September quarter, taking the wind out of the NZD/USD’s sails following the expected election victory from the National Party-led coalition over the weekend.

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October 16, 2023 11:25 PM
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NZD/USD turns lower as the RBNZ hold rates once more

NZD/USD's break above 60c ahead of the RBNZ's announced that they held rates at 5.5% again was shortly lived, and momentum has turned decisively lower. Ans there could be further downside to come.

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The RBNZ hold rates, AUD/USD breaks out ahead of US CPI

The RBNZ held their cash rate steady for the first time following 12 consecutive hikes, whilst AUD/USD broke above its 200-day MA ahead of a key US inflation report.

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NZD/USD analysis: The RBNZ’s latest 25bp hike could be their last

NZD pairs were lower after the RBNZ hiked for a 12th consecutive meeting and signalled they may have reached a peak rate of 5.5%. At least for now.

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May 24, 2023 04:17 AM
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AUD/USD, NZD/USD analysis: RBNZ to deliver a hawkish hike?

The RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) are expected to hike by another 25bp tomorrow, despite 1 and 2-year inflation expectations plummeting at their fastest pace since the pandemic.

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NZD/USD, AUD/NZD outlook: NZD pairs track headline inflation lower

New Zealander’s can breathe a sigh of relief that their rate of inflation is finally slowing, with both annual and quarterly CPI coming in much less than expected.

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April 20, 2023 01:30 AM
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The RBNZ surprise with a 50bp interest rate hike

Not for the first time, the RBNZ surpassed market expectations with a 50bp hike, raising their cash rate for an 11th consecutive meeting to 5.25%.

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RBNZ deliver a 50bp hike, AU wages softer than forecast

Today’s 50bp hike suggests there are more hikes to come, but we note that they removed the 100bp increment from their debate and slowed their pace of tightening.

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February 22, 2023 02:14 AM
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RBNZ could hike by 50bp on Wednesday (but don’t discount a 75bp hike)

Whilst economists and market pricing favour a 50bp RBNZ hike on Wednesday, the potential for a 75bp hike is real.

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February 20, 2023 02:32 AM

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European Open: RBNZ deliver a hawkish 75bp hike, FOMC minutes up next

As if 75bp was not enough, the RBNZ came out swinging by increasing their terminal rate much higher than we anticipated.

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“Less Hawkish” RBA weighs on AUD/NZD

With the RBA only hiking rates by 25bps at each of the last two meetings, the RBNZ is the more hawkish of the two central banks.

November 1, 2022 03:05 PM
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Will NZD/USD take out the March 2020 lows?

If the price action is the same after the CPI print as it was after the hawkish RBNZ, then bounces will be sold into and the pair could take out the lows.

October 17, 2022 07:59 PM
downtrend chart

Will NZD/USD take out the March 2020 lows?

If the price action is the same after the CPI print as it was after the hawkish RBNZ, then bounces will be sold into and the pair could take out the lows.

October 17, 2022 07:59 PM
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The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered

The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.

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The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered

The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.