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Research

A surprise OPEC+ output cut is a thorn in the side for disinflation

I imagine quite a few central bankers and politicians will be rolling their eyes or shaking their fists OPEC's way, as the surprise oil production cut adds inflationary pressures back into the mix.

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April 3, 2023 10:39 AM
Research

European Open: WTI back above $70, yen remains firm

Competing themes has seen oil prices rally thanks to risk-on sentiment, yet the yen is the strongest major likely due to the repatriation trade

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March 28, 2023 03:21 PM
Research

European Open: UK inflation up next, then focus shifts to the FOMC meeting

Today’s UK inflation print could be the difference between a final 25bp hike from the BOE tomorrow, or a pause. Then our attention turns to the FOMC meeting.

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March 22, 2023 04:47 PM

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Oil rig in the sea

Crude plummets - will OPEC come to rescue?

We might see an oversold bounce in prices soon but until something changes fundamentally, the path of least resistance would remain to the downside

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European Open: GBP/USD implied volatility spikes ahead of UK wages and US CPI

Whilst US CPI is likely the main event of the week, UK wages data could also turn the dial for the BOE, which is why GBP/USD implied volatility has spiked.

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February 14, 2023 03:50 PM
Energy

European Open: $82 continues to defy WTI crude bulls

Despite hopes of a rebound in demand due to China’s reopening, oil bulls have repeatedly failed to help WTI crude oil close above $82 – and momentum now points lower.

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January 30, 2023 03:39 PM
Research

Recession concerns and a stronger US dollar send WTI back below $80

WTI suffered its worst day in 30 yesterday, with a combination of a stronger US dollar, recession concerns and weaker natural gas prices all playing their part for a bearish session.

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January 4, 2023 11:15 AM
Research

European Open: EUR/GBP rally stalls at key highs, German data in focus

We see a technical case for EUR/GBP to top out over the near-term, which could be helped if Germany deliver a soft inflation report today.

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January 3, 2023 05:00 PM
U-turn sign against blue sky

OK Fed followers: When is a pivot, not a pivot?

Jerome Powell hit the wires and effectively confirmed that the Fed will slow their pace of tightening, reigniting the argument over what a ‘pivot’ is.

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December 1, 2022 02:32 PM
Energy

Crude oil takes another plunge

This time on report that the OPEC+ to discuss production hike by 500K bpd

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November 22, 2022 03:00 AM

Commodities slump as dollar rebounds

Chinese demand concerns on the rise amid Covid outbreak

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November 18, 2022 04:30 AM
Oil extraction

WTI falls as demand concerns intensify

Oil investors' focus is turning back to the demand side of things and in particular China...

Energy

WTI’s trend break more good news re inflation

...after CPI came in much weaker

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November 11, 2022 04:42 AM
Graphic of trading data chart

European Open: DAX futures point to a weaker open, retail sales on tap

The weak lead on Wall Street led to declines across Asia, and now back over to European and US futures which suggest a weak open for cash markets such as the DAX.

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October 21, 2022 04:05 PM
Graphic of trading data chart

European Open: DAX futures point to a weaker open, retail sales on tap

The weak lead on Wall Street led to declines across Asia, and now back over to European and US futures which suggest a weak open for cash markets such as the DAX.

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October 21, 2022 04:05 PM
Research

New Zealand’s inflation came in much hotter than expected [hoped]

Talk of peak inflation was short-lived following release of Q3 inflation for New Zealand, with the annual rate sticking near its highs and the quarterly rate accelerating.

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October 18, 2022 12:02 PM

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Research

New Zealand’s inflation came in much hotter than expected [hoped]

Talk of peak inflation was short-lived following release of Q3 inflation for New Zealand, with the annual rate sticking near its highs and the quarterly rate accelerating.

default avatar
October 18, 2022 12:02 PM
Research

European Open: DAX rallies from 12k, WTI prints a potential swing low

The big question today is whether we’ll see the risk-on bounce seen yesterday flow over to today. Two potential traders we’re watching include the DAX and WTI futures.

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October 14, 2022 04:24 PM
Research

European Open: DAX rallies from 12k, WTI prints a potential swing low

The big question today is whether we’ll see the risk-on bounce seen yesterday flow over to today. Two potential traders we’re watching include the DAX and WTI futures.

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October 14, 2022 04:24 PM

European Open: WTI finds demand around $117, futures mixed

The yen continued to weaken overnight and WTI is back at around $120 after a solid rebound from $117 yesterday.

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June 8, 2022 04:06 PM
Research

WTI crude shows the potential to extend its recent rally

Whilst WTI crude has pulled back following Monday’s gap higher, the potential for a bullish continuation pattern following a bullish breakout has been noted.

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June 7, 2022 12:50 PM
Oil rig in the sea

Oil hits 7-year high, but is this sustainable?

Oil’s rally has been nothing short of impressive of late, yet falling volumes and bearish patterns at the highs warn of a potential correction.

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January 28, 2022 02:07 PM