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AUD/USD outlook: RBNZ, US and AU CPI to drive the Australian dollar

It could be an interesting week for the Australian dollar if caught between the crossfire of the RBNZ meeting, Fed talk and US inflation data. We also have an Australian inflation report to throw into the mix for good measure.

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February 25, 2024 08:00 AM
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Nasdaq 100 ready to retrace? AUD/NZD approaches a technical juncture

We noted the tendency for US indices to begin a retracement on December 7th according to its seasonality, so it is interesting to note the 2-day bearish reversal on the Nasdaq on Wednesday. AUD/NZD is also on the watchlist for a potential long as it approaches a key area of support.

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December 6, 2023 10:14 PM
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NZ dollar takes flight as RBNZ strike a hawkish tone (NZD/USD, AUD/NZD)

Whilst the RBNZ were expected to hold, their statement struck a hawkish tone by stating that “inflation remains too high”. And with traders front-loading a weak CPI print for the US later this week it has catapulted the New Zealand dollar higher.

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November 29, 2023 02:12 AM

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The RBNZ hold rates, AUD/USD breaks out ahead of US CPI

The RBNZ held their cash rate steady for the first time following 12 consecutive hikes, whilst AUD/USD broke above its 200-day MA ahead of a key US inflation report.

AUD/NZD, AUD/USD, ASX 200 Analysis: NZ enters a technical recession

The Fed delivered the hawkish pause with rates remaining at 5.00-5.25%, but warned of another 50bp hikes by December.

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AUD forecast: Aussie consumers pull back on discretionary spending

Australian retail sales beat expectations in May, which keeps some pressure on the RBA to hike rates. But there are small signs of weakness behind the headline figure.

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The RBNZ surprise with a 50bp interest rate hike

Not for the first time, the RBNZ surpassed market expectations with a 50bp hike, raising their cash rate for an 11th consecutive meeting to 5.25%.

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RBNZ deliver a 50bp hike, AU wages softer than forecast

Today’s 50bp hike suggests there are more hikes to come, but we note that they removed the 100bp increment from their debate and slowed their pace of tightening.

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February 22, 2023 02:14 AM
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RBNZ could hike by 50bp on Wednesday (but don’t discount a 75bp hike)

Whilst economists and market pricing favour a 50bp RBNZ hike on Wednesday, the potential for a 75bp hike is real.

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February 20, 2023 02:32 AM
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The Aussie dollar gets stunned as unemployment hits an 8-month high

December’s employment report raised a few eyebrows, as it was the first in a while to miss expectations and prompted us to question whether cracks were appearing in the economy. January’s report suggests there are.

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Australia’s retail snails weigh on December's trade figures (again)

Australia’s retail sales were down a lot more than expected in December, suggesting much of the hype had died over the Black Friday Sales and Cyber Sales Monday in November.

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January 31, 2023 02:03 AM
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AU inflation – a report to match Australia’s (hot) weather

There’s no escaping the fact that Australian inflation continues to point the wrong way for the RBA and consumers alike. And today’s report should quickly eradicate hopes of an RBA pause in February.

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Australia data provides AUD/NZD pump

If AUD/NZD can break above the top of its current flag pattern, it may be on its way to the flag target above 1.1000.

January 11, 2023 08:30 PM
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AUD/NZD breakout?

As long as AUD/NZD is below 1.0860 (the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level) the bounce is shallow.

December 21, 2022 07:33 PM
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RBA hike rates by 25bp, more hikes to follow

The RBA used the last meeting of the year to hike interest rates by another 25bp – its eighth hike in as many meetings.

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December 6, 2022 04:25 AM

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The Consensus Calls for the RBNZ to hike by 75bp tomorrow

If the RBNZ hike by 75bp tomorrow in line with the consensus, it will be their first hike of this magnitude on record.

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November 22, 2022 02:15 AM
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“Less Hawkish” RBA weighs on AUD/NZD

With the RBA only hiking rates by 25bps at each of the last two meetings, the RBNZ is the more hawkish of the two central banks.

November 1, 2022 03:05 PM
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Australian inflation is the latest ‘hot beat’ on the dancefloor

Economic data beats are usually a good thing, unless it is in the guise of much higher than expected (and already elevated) inflation.

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October 26, 2022 04:47 AM
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Australian inflation is the latest ‘hot beat’ on the dancefloor

Economic data beats are usually a good thing, unless it is in the guise of much higher than expected (and already elevated) inflation.

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October 26, 2022 04:47 AM
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The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered

The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.

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The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered

The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.