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Nasdaq’s bullish signal may deliver upside for the Nikkei 225

While the Nasdaq 100 has broken its 2024 uptrend, traders continue to buy the dip, generating a bullish signal on Thursday. That points to possible upside not only for US tech but also Japan’s Nikkei 225.

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April 12, 2024 12:28 PM

USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: BOJ scraps negative rates but not bond buys, pressuring yen

A historic day for Japanese markets with the Bank of Japan (BOJ) hiking interest rates for the first time since 2007, doing away with negative interest rates in the process. It’s now over to the Fed to drive the price action over the remainder of the week.

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March 19, 2024 03:21 PM

Nikkei 225 longs favoured into BOJ and Fed rate decisions, Nvidia GPU conference

Recent price action in Nikkei 225 futures points to upside risks this week, indicating confidence among traders that even with major events such as rate decisions from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve, along with Nvidia’s GPU Technology Conference, the bull market that helped propel the underlying index to record highs is anything but finished.

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March 18, 2024 10:23 AM

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Soft US CPI amplifies downside risk for US yields, USD/JPY and Nikkei

USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 futures have been heavily influenced by US bond yields recently, meaning Tuesday’s US consumer price inflation report looms as critical for how Japanese markets may fare over the short to medium term. The bias for all remains lower in the absence of another hot inflation number.

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March 12, 2024 01:34 PM

DAX futures, Nikkei 225 hit record highs: European open

It was a lively session for equity traders in Asia on Thursday, with the Nikkei 225 and DAX futures hitting record highs. The Nikkei made its inevitable run to 39k and touched a record high, by a cat's whisker.

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February 22, 2024 04:12 PM

Ducks have lined up for Nikkei 225 to test its 1989 high

If there was ever a day for Japan’s Nikkei 225 to overcome its demons and take out the record high set in December 1989, few screen better than today. The ducks look to have lined up for bulls. If we can’t set a new peak, it may provide a subtle warning that the market has run too hard, too fast.

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February 22, 2024 09:54 AM

AUD/USD suffers its worst 3-day run, Ominous day for the Nikkei: Asian Open

Appetite remained sour on Wednesday, and that has been a clear drag on AUD/USD ahead of today’s employment report.

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January 18, 2024 09:26 AM

Recent Nikkei bulls face their first real test

Recent adoptees of a bullish Nikkei stance are facing their first real test with a distinct risk-off tone settling in across the Asian region, seeing the index reverse slightly after hitting fresh 34-year highs on Monday.

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January 16, 2024 12:21 PM

USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Difficult to ignore the noise surrounding a BOJ early exit

Speculation surrounding the future of the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) yield curve control program continues to thwart attempts to push USD/JPY higher, combining with the threat of intervention from the BOJ to cap on rallies in the pair.

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October 24, 2023 10:22 AM

USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Implications should the BOJ never reach escape velocity on rates

Should the BOJ fail to reach escape velocity from ultra-easy monetary policy settings, it will have implications for the Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY as we move towards 2024.

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October 12, 2023 02:09 PM

S&P 500, Nikkei 225 analysis: Can someone let the dead cat bounce out?

US bond yields pulled back to give risk assets a reprieve from their selloff on Wednesday. But with bond market implied volatility also pulling back, perhaps there's a little more room for a bounce for the Nikkei and S&P 500.

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October 5, 2023 12:48 PM

Nikkei 225: Important day for Japanese stocks as slide stalls at key support

Nikkei 225 sits on a major support, making near-term price action potentially important for its longer-term trajectory.

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October 4, 2023 11:04 AM
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Nasdaq, Nikkei, ASX: Breaking down as the ‘bondcano’ erupts

After threatening for weeks to generate a sizeable volatility event, the combination of higher bond yields and US dollar looks to have delivered.

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September 22, 2023 12:10 PM
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Nikkei 225 breaks higher on tech gains. Nasdaq 100 next?

Given the driver of the Nikkei’s performance, keep an eye on the Nasdaq’s performance given it continues to bump up against downtrend resistance on an almost daily basis.

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September 14, 2023 03:11 PM

Nikkei 225: downside risks building as fundamentals start to turn

Japan’s Nikkei 225 appears susceptible to downside having surged to fresh multi-decade highs earlier this year.

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September 8, 2023 03:32 PM

USD/JPY breaks higher. Nikkei 225 next?

USD/JPY is breaking higher, adding to upside risks for Japanese exporter earnings.

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August 15, 2023 11:23 AM

Nikkei 225 analysis: Nikkei hits 30k following strong GDP data

A surprisingly strong GDP report for Japan saw the Nikkei 225, rise to its highest level in 20-months and tap 30k.

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May 17, 2023 11:51 AM

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Not for the first time, the BOJ spite the hype (presser pending…)

There were high expectations from the BOJ at today’s meeting, yet what they delivered was a nothing burger. That is classic BOJ!

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January 18, 2023 04:14 PM
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Index in Focus: Nikkei 225 Index

Will the BoJ act when it meets on Wednesday? Traders aren’t taking any chances and are selling the Nikkei 225 ahead of any surprises.

January 14, 2023 03:11 AM

Japan’s Inflation is doing its thing, but don’t expect the BOJ to act

Inflation rose to an 8-year high (or a 31-year high if we look past tax-hike impacts), yet its unlikely to see the BOJ shift from their ultra-dovish policy this week.


Three trades to watch (USD/CNH, Nikkei 225, China A50)

USD/CNH enjoyed its best day since the pandemic yesterday following China’s weak data, as Beijing seemingly to want to allow their currency to slide to help support the economy.

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V-bottom on Hang Seng, Dow Jones to lead the way higher?

We saw a strong finish for global equities last week, and as the Dow Jones was an outperformer during the recent turmoil, we suspect it could outperform during a recovery.

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European equities feel the weight of war

Whilst sentiment remains negative for global equities, European bourses have been the worst hit – which is likely due to the close proximity to the Ukraine crisis.