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Black swan events: how does black swan theory affect trading?

A black swan event can have a devastating impact on the markets and is next to impossible to predict. So how should you deal with black swans when trading?

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October 25, 2023 08:48 AM

European Open: The USD is back on the ropes as ISM renews recession fears

Weak PMI and ISM data has renewed concerns of a US recession, which saw the 10-year – 3-month hit its most negative level since the 80’s.

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April 4, 2023 05:07 AM
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Economic depression vs recession: preparing for financial downturns

An economic depression is more severe and long-lasting than a recession, but both can wreak havoc on financial markets. Find out what the difference between a depression and recession is, and how you can prepare for a longer economic decline.

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December 15, 2022 11:55 AM

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Growth concerns replace inflation woes

…But stock markets keep on rising for now.

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Things go from bad to worse for US stocks

Incoming economic data from the US continues to weaken, raising fears over an economic slowdown

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November 3, 2022 03:30 PM
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Recession worries grow in busy week for earnings and central banks

Poor PMI data underscore the challenges central banks face at a time when inflation remains very high

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Recession worries grow in busy week for earnings and central banks

Poor PMI data underscore the challenges central banks face at a time when inflation remains very high


GBP/USD could revisit 1.25 as US recession confirmed

GDP was quite poor, so there won’t be a hattrick of 75 basis point hikes in September, that’s for sure.

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July 28, 2022 04:08 PM
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US yield curve sees its deepest inversion since 2000: What does it mean for major markets?

If traders don’t have this scenario in their minds, they’re ignoring one of the biggest risk in markets right now...

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July 14, 2022 06:15 PM

Oil takes a hit as recession and Covid fears loom

The German ZEW and the continued on again/off again lockdowns in China are contributing to fears of a global slowdown or recession.

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EUR/JPY pushes lower as recession fears set in

In addition to EUR/USD moving lower, EUR/JPY could continue lower as well, as the Yen is also considered a safe haven currency.

July 6, 2022 05:22 PM
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European stocks and economy vulnerable

Nothing has changed fundamentally to suggest the markets have bottomed out

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July 4, 2022 01:42 PM
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US stocks drop as another consumer confidence barometer plunges

The slump in confidence was driven by a plunge in 'expectations' sub-index

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June 28, 2022 04:23 PM
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Two trades to watch: FTSE, EUR/USD

FTSE edges lower with G7 is focus. EUR/USD rises on USD weakness

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June 27, 2022 09:17 AM
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Poor PMIs underpin recession worries

This is the latest macro data to underscore worries about a sharp economic slowdown

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Dr Copper chimes in on the recession debate

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States and operates under a dual mandate to effectively promote the goals of maximum employment while maintaining price stability.

June 23, 2022 05:44 AM

The S&P 500 may have bounced, but the backdrop remains bleak

The S&P 500 rallied as a retracement gets underway. But that doesn’t change the fact that the bigger picture remains bleak for the bull camp further out.

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Why you should watch the Baltic Dry Index as recession fears grow

The Baltic Dry Index has proven to be a reliable indicator of future global economic activity and could prove a useful tool amid the uncertain outlook.

Japan falls into “recession,” USD/JPY bulls may target 13-year high around 125.00

It’s been a quiet start to the week as the world reflects on the horrific terrorist attack in Paris over the weekend. Our thoughts remain […]