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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: BOJ negative rate watch shouldn’t rank highly for traders

Focusing on whether the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will scrap negative interest rates should be low on the list of priorities for USD/JPY traders to consider right now. It’s not as important as it’s portrayed to be, creating plenty of noise for an event that could pass without generating significant market volatility.

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February 28, 2024 04:40 AM
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Ducks have lined up for Nikkei 225 to test its 1989 high

If there was ever a day for Japan’s Nikkei 225 to overcome its demons and take out the record high set in December 1989, few screen better than today. The ducks look to have lined up for bulls. If we can’t set a new peak, it may provide a subtle warning that the market has run too hard, too fast.

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February 21, 2024 10:54 PM
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USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 vulnerable should yield differentials continue to compress

Bond yields, especially in the United States given the US dollar’s role as the global reserve currency, are perhaps more important to Japan than many other parts of the world.

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February 1, 2024 04:48 AM

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USD/JPY, Nikkei trading heavy as news flow bolsters case for BOJ rate hike

Japan has received a raft of bullish economic news today, sending Japanese government bond yields higher while simultaneously placing downward pressure on USD/JPY and the Nikkei 225.

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January 24, 2024 05:41 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225 whipsawed as BOJ provides few clues on rate hike timeline

Japan’s Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY have been whipsawed following the BOJ January interest rate decision with policymakers providing few clues as to whether they’re likely to lift interest rates out of negative territory for the first time in nearly a decade later in the year.

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January 23, 2024 03:59 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Higher US bond yields fueling upside momentum

USD/JPY has surged to fresh one-month highs, aided by a lift in US bond yields which widened interest rate differentials with Japan. Given the risk-off tone seen across broader markets, it’s clear the yen is no longer the safe haven play it once was.

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January 17, 2024 12:42 AM
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Recent Nikkei bulls face their first real test

Recent adoptees of a bullish Nikkei stance are facing their first real test with a distinct risk-off tone settling in across the Asian region, seeing the index reverse slightly after hitting fresh 34-year highs on Monday.

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January 16, 2024 01:21 AM
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Nikkei surge threatened by elevated USD/JPY reversal risk

While you can’t argue with the price action – sentiment is off the charts – there are some obvious downside risks that appear underpriced right now for Japan's benchmark share index.

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January 15, 2024 05:35 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225, AUD/USD: BOJ may push back against mounting rate hike bets

USD/JPY tumbled on Thursday on speculation the BOJ may move pre-emptively to lift interest rates before wage pressures have materialised. Such a move would be economically risky and go against recent BOJ statements.

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December 7, 2023 11:43 PM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Narrowing yield differentials with the US amplify downside risks

If you believe the Fed is done hiking rates and will be forced to ease policy aggressively next year, it’s hard to be bullish USD/JPY or the Nikkei 225 given the role yield differentials and FX fluctuations have played in underpinning both this year.

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November 6, 2023 01:24 AM
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Nikkei 225, USD/JPY: Situation “tense” as speculative moves amplify BOJ intervention risk

Japan’s Nikkei 225 has endured a whirlwind 24 hours, mirroring the USD/JPY in the wake of the Bank of Japan’s (BPJ) October monetary policy meeting. It’s surged more than 1000 points from the lows hit on Tuesday, largely reflecting stiffening tailwinds for Japanese exporter earnings.

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November 1, 2023 12:41 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Bouncing back despite BOJ abandoning hard cap on bond yields

USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 are rising in the wake of the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) latest interest rate decision, reacting to a smaller-than-expected adjustment to the banks yield curve control (YCC) program.

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October 31, 2023 05:04 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Difficult to ignore the noise surrounding a BOJ early exit

Speculation surrounding the future of the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) yield curve control program continues to thwart attempts to push USD/JPY higher, combining with the threat of intervention from the BOJ to cap on rallies in the pair.

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October 24, 2023 12:22 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Moment of truth as traders grapple with BOJ intervention threat

For USD/JPY and Nikkei 225, what the BOJ chooses to do near-term will likely be felt well into the future.

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October 20, 2023 02:38 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Looking toppy nearing range highs, await China data

It’s been a turbulent 24 hours for USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 as traders attempt to digest the impact from the hot “supercore” inflation reading in the US released overnight on Thursday.

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October 13, 2023 02:26 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Implications should the BOJ never reach escape velocity on rates

Should the BOJ fail to reach escape velocity from ultra-easy monetary policy settings, it will have implications for the Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY as we move towards 2024.

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October 12, 2023 04:09 AM
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Nikkei 225: Important day for Japanese stocks as slide stalls at key support

Nikkei 225 sits on a major support, making near-term price action potentially important for its longer-term trajectory.

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October 4, 2023 01:04 AM

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Japan’s Inflation is doing its thing, but don’t expect the BOJ to act

Inflation rose to an 8-year high (or a 31-year high if we look past tax-hike impacts), yet its unlikely to see the BOJ shift from their ultra-dovish policy this week.

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Three trades to watch (USD/CNH, Nikkei 225, China A50)

USD/CNH enjoyed its best day since the pandemic yesterday following China’s weak data, as Beijing seemingly to want to allow their currency to slide to help support the economy.

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Omicron, Apple, Tapering - What next for the Nikkei?

The reappointment of Fed Chair Powell two weeks ago was meant to be about keeping the status quo. A move that removed uncertainty, to allow risk assets to carry on their rally into year-end.

December 2, 2021 03:54 AM