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Inflation Report

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Research

AU Q2 inflation surges but fears ease over supersized 75bp RBA rate hike

June quarter Australian inflation data has surged to 6.1%, but below consensus expectations easing fears of a supersized 75bp rate hike when the RBA meets next week.

Research

Q2 Australian CPI preview and what comes next for the ASX200

Tucked in between this week's FOMC meeting, U.S Q2 GDP data, and earnings reports from U.S mega tech is the release of Australian Q2 inflation data

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Two masters and only one answer - RBA

In a preview earlier this week, we noted that a firm Q1 Australian inflation print would likely confirm the end of the era of ultra-low interest rates in Australia and the possibility of an interest rate hike as early as next week.

April 28, 2022 07:38 AM
Research

Surge in AU inflation heightens RBA rate hike expectations but is not a game changer for the AUDUSD

This morning's release of March quarter Australian inflation data smashed already elevated expectations. The stunning beat firms up the chances that the RBA will raise interest rates at its monthly board meeting next week for the first time since 2010.

Research

AU Q1 CPI preview and what next for the ASX200

Tomorrow morning sees the release of March quarter Australian inflation data. It will likely be remembered as the final data point to confirm the end of an era of ultra-low interest rates in Australia and set the scene for an RBA interest rate hike as early as next month.

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Why hot inflation matters and what next for gold

Overnight, inflation in the U.S. accelerated to 7.9% in February, the highest rate since January 1982

Risk aversion overshadows hot NZ Q4 CPI data: NZDUSD

In a reversal of roles, Australian Q4 CPI data released earlier this week has proved to be a reliable predictor of inflation in New Zealand, as annual inflation in New Zealand accelerated to a 30 year high earlier today.

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AU Q4 CPI review and what comes next for the AUDUSD?

Australian inflation for Q4 surprised to the upside, continuing a trend seen across many major developed markets in recent months.

NZ Q4 CPI preview and what next for the NZDUSD?

Evidence of nine Omicron cases discovered in the Nelson-Tasman region of New Zealand last week prompted a move from orange to red light traffic setting over the weekend, meaning new restrictions have come into force.

January 25, 2022 12:37 AM
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AU Q4 CPI preview and what lies ahead for the ASX200

The rout in U.S. stock markets deepened last week on concerns over rising interest rates and heightened tensions between Russia and Ukraine. The broader U.S. share market has now fallen 8.3% from its high of early January, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq is down ~14% from its all-time high from November.

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European Open: 113 Could Be Key for USD/JPY Around US CPI

USD/JPY fell below 113 for the first time in a month following strong producer prices. And we suspect that area will be pivotal around today’s inflation print.

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Accelerating core inflation spurs AUDUSD higher

This morning's release of Australian inflation data for the September quarter has proved to be the spark the currency market needed after a dull session overnight.

NZDUSD outperforms ahead of Q3 inflation data

Posing the most serious threat to global growth into year-end an acceleration in inflation.

October 15, 2021 03:04 AM

The BOE shifts the goal posts, makes it harder to raise interest rates

The market has interpreted the first Inflation Report of the year as dovish in tone, UK yields have fallen alongside the pound, which is nearly […]

Initial thoughts on BOE IR

The BOE kept rates and QE unchanged today, as expected. However, some BOE members are nearing their tolerance for CPI increases. Interestingly, although the BOE […]

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February 2, 2017 12:23 PM

The chart to watch ahead of BOE Inflation Report

The pound is likely to be very sensitive to the outcome of today’s Inflation Report released at 1200 GMT, and the accompanying press conference by […]

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Inflation Report preview: Carney and co. to remain on hold for now

It’s Super Thursday for the Bank of England this week, when it will announce interest rates and release its latest Inflation Report at midday on […]

GBPAUD: Bulls in Control Ahead of “Super Thursday” Shenanigans

As my colleague Kathleen Brooks noted earlier today in her in-depth preview, tomorrow is a major day for the British pound (see “Bank of England: […]

Bank of England: binge watching the Bank’s next move

Thursday 6th August is now being called Super Thursday, when the Bank of England will announce its latest interest rate decision, release the minutes of […]