Fiona Cincotta
Fiona Cincotta
Senior Market Analyst
Expertise: Macroeconomics, Fundamental & Technical Analysis, Media
Trading Style: Trend/Swing
Experience:
• Over 15 years’ experience trading and analysing UK, European & US markets
• Covers forex, equity, commodity, and crypto assets
• Webinars seminars and regular appearances on BBC, Reuters and Bloomberg TV as well as a weekly slot on BBC’s World Business report (World Services).
• Regularly quoted in Bloomberg, Reuters and MarketWatch among other outlets
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S&P 500 Analysis: SPX rises after more tech earnings & despite sticky inflation
US stocks are set to open higher after impressive numbers from Alphabet and Microsoft. Meanwhile, US core PCE, the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation, was hotter than expected at 2.8% YoY, which is in line with February. Personal spending was stronger than expected. The data supports the view that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates. The central bank meets next week.
Dow Jones Analysis: DJIA falls after Meta disappoints, inflation rises
Meta beat earnings and revenue forecasts with EPS of $4.71 on revenue of $36.46 billion. However, the share price has slumped after weaker revenue guidance and higher spending plans. The selloff has hit sentiment and dragged other tech stocks lower. Meanwhile, the US Q1 GDP was weaker than expected, at 1.6%, annualised. However, core PCE inflation rose more than expected across the quarter. The Dow Jone analysis sees the price testing support at 38000,
EUR/USD, FTSE Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD rises after German consumer confidence & ahead of US GDP data. FTSE rises on mining M&A news & after-earnings.
S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises with earnings in focus, Tesla jumps
Stocks are pointing to a modestly higher start as earnings continue to roll in. However, gains could be limited after stronger-than-expected US durable goods orders revived concerns over the Fed keeping rates high for longer. Tesla is set to open 12% higher despite missing both earnings and revenue estimates. The market was more impressed by the news of an acceleration in the production of affordable EV models. Meta will report after the close.
DAX, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch
DAX rises with German IFO business sentiment data in focus. USD/JPY inches higher despite intervention threats and ahead of US durable goods orders.
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises ahead of Tesla earnings
US indices point to a stronger start as corporate earnings continue to roll in. Earnings are providing a welcomed distraction after worries over the Fed keeping rates high for longer hurt sentiment last week. US PMI data is due shortly and is expected to show business activity grew at a faster pace. Tesla is due to report after the close after the EV maker's deliveries fell in Q1 and as the share price trades down 40% this year.
FTSE, EUR/USD Forecast: Two trades to watch
FTSE rises to a record high as the GBP struggles around a 5-month low. EUR/USD looks to PMI data.
S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises ahead of key tech earnings this week
US stocks are set to open higher after steep losses across the previous week. The S&P500 fell over 3% last week and the Nasdaq 6% amid expectations that the Fed will keep rates high for longer. Attention this week is turning to tech earnings, with Tesla, Meta, Alphabet, and Microsoft reporting earnings. US core PCE and Q1 GDP data later in the week will also be in focus.
EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD rises, but gains could be limited with ECB President Lagarde’s speech in focus. Oil falls as Middle East tensions ease & the demand outlook deteriorates.
Weekly equities forecast: Tesla, Lloyds & Barclays earnings preview
S&P 500 and the FTSE fell last week after the market pushed back Fed rate cut expectations and as geopolitical tensions hurt risk sentiment. Look ahead; US core PCE will be a key focus next week, as well as earning season with Tesla earnings and UK bank's earnings.
S&P 500 Forecast: SPX steady with Middle East tensions & Netflix in focus
US stocks are set for a mixed open as Iran downplays Israel's attack, helping fears fade. Futures recovered earlier losses, and oil gave back earlier losses. Netflix reported stronger-than-expected Q1 earnings and revenues but is set to fall on the open after revenue guidance for the current quarter was modestly weaker than expected.