(Click to enlarge chart)
What happened earlier
The Japan 225 (proxy for the Nikkei 225) has staged the expected pull-back below the 18320 short-term trendline resistance and whipsawed around the previous daily (short-term) pivotal support at 18000.
Yesterday at the U.S. session, the Index has managed to break above the 18320 short-term resistance. Please click on this link for a recap on our previous daily outlook.
Key elements
- The former short-term trendline resistance is now pull-back support (in dotted green) at 18260.
- The hourly (short-term) Stochastic oscillator has dipped back into its oversold region which suggests that the pull-back in price action seen this morning is coming close to its potential reversal point where the Index is likely to resume its prior upside movement.
- The next significant short-term resistance will be at 18740 which is the 09 September 2015 swing high @2pm
Key levels (1 to 3 days)
Intermediate support: 18260
Pivot (key support): 18140
Resistance: 18740
Next support: 17830/17710
Conclusion
As long as the 18260/18140 significant support zone holds, the Index is likely to see another round of potential upswing to target the 18740 resistance.
However, failure to hold above the 18140 daily (short-term) pivotal support may see a slide to retest the 15 September 2015 low at 17830 and even the 17710 weekly pivotal support (click here for more details).
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