All trading involves risk. Ensure you understand those risks before trading.
All trading involves risk. Ensure you understand those risks before trading.

A review of the week past and the week ahead 21st September


What mattered last week:

  • The S&P500 fell for a third straight week, as September lived up to its reputation for volatility.
  • Despite the FOMC meeting providing dovish reinforcement for the Feds new policy framework announced at Jackson Hole.
  • Economic data in the U.S continues to improve. However, the rate of improvement is slowing and with a 4th U.S. stimulus package on hold, economic concerns remain.
  • New coronavirus cases continued to trend lower in the U.S, and Australia. However, cases in India and Europe continue to rise, particularly in Spain and France.
  • Much stronger than expected Australian employment data, pushed back the urgency for new easing measures from the RBA.
  • Volatility, as measured by the VIX index, closed lower at 25.8.
  • U.S. 10-year yields closed higher, near 0.70%.
  • Gold closed back above U.S. $1950.00.
  • Crude oil surged over 10%, closing at U.S $41.32/bbl.
  • The ASX200 closed mostly unchanged at 5864.5.
  • In FX, the AUDUSD closed marginally higher near  .7290.

For the week ahead, the key events are:

Australia: Speech by RBA Deputy Governor Guy Debelle (Tuesday).

  • Speech by RBA Deputy Governor Guy Debelle (Tuesday): Debelle will deliver a speech on Tuesday titled “The Australian Economy and Monetary Policy” at the Australian Industry Group conference. Unlikely to be a market mover but worth keeping an eye out for just in case.

New Zealand: RBNZ interest rate meeting (Wednesday), balance of trade (Thursday).

  • RBNZ interest rate meeting (Wednesday): The RBNZ is like to reiterate that the OCR will be left unchanged until March and remind the market that it is examing 4 policy options if more stimulus is required including expanding the LSAP program, reducing the OCR below zero, a term lending scheme to banks, and the purchase of foreign assets (such as foreign government bonds).

China: China Loan Prime rate (Monday).  

Japan: Jibun flash PMIs (Wednesday), BoJ monetary policy meeting minutes (Thursday).

U.S: Existing home sales (Tuesday), house price index, Markit flash PMI’s (Wednesday), initial jobless claims, new home sales (Thursday), durable goods orders (Friday).

Canada: Nothing of note.

Euro Area: German consumer confidence and German and EA Markit flash PMI’s (Wednesday), IFO business survey (Thursday).

  • Euro area ‘flash’ PMIs (Wednesday): The second wave of the coronavirus pandemic in Europe suggests that Euro Area PMI’s are vulnerable to a decline in September.

UK: Markit flash PMI’s (Wednesday), GFK consumer confidence (Friday).

From time to time, StoneX Financial Pty Ltd (“we”, “our”) website may contain links to other sites and/or resources provided by third parties. These links and/or resources are provided for your information only and we have no control over the contents of those materials, and in no way endorse their content. Any analysis, opinion, commentary or research-based material on our website is for information and educational purposes only and is not, in any circumstances, intended to be an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell. You should always seek independent advice as to your suitability to speculate in any related markets and your ability to assume the associated risks, if you are at all unsure. No representation or warranty is made, express or implied, that the materials on our website are complete or accurate. We are not under any obligation to update any such material.

As such, we (and/or our associated companies) will not be responsible or liable for any loss or damage incurred by you or any third party arising out of, or in connection with, any use of the information on our website (other than with regards to any duty or liability that we are unable to limit or exclude by law or under the applicable regulatory system) and any such liability is hereby expressly disclaimed.

City Index is a trading name of StoneX Financial Pty Ltd.

The material provided herein is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs.

While every care has been taken in preparing this material, we do not provide any representation or warranty (express or implied) with respect to its completeness or accuracy. This is not an invitation or an offer to invest nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell investments.

StoneX recommends you to seek independent financial and legal advice before making any financial investment decision. Trading CFDs and FX on margin carries a higher level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The possibility exists that you could lose more than your initial investment further CFD investors do not own or have any rights to the underlying assets.

It is important you consider our Financial Services Guide and Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) available at www.cityindex.com/en-au/terms-and-policies/, before deciding to acquire or hold our products. As a part of our market risk management, we may take the opposite side of your trade. Our Target Market Determination (TMD) is also available at www.cityindex.com/en-au/terms-and-policies/.

StoneX Financial Pty Ltd, Suite 28.01, 264 George Street, Sydney, NSW 2000 (ACN 141 774 727, AFSL 345646) is the CFD issuer and our products are traded off exchange.

© City Index 2024