UK unemployment to edge closer to guidance

The main data in focus today is from the UK, with votes shown for the bank rate and assert purchases. No surprises are expected here, with 0-0-9 for both.

The unemployment rate is due out at the same time and is expected to carry on the drop to 7.3%, edging that bit closer to the forward guidance number of 7% before interest rates are considered to be increased.

It’s also worth keeping in mind that in a few weeks we’ll get the inflation report from Carney and many are now expecting a change in guidance, especially the unemployment rate.

The AUD was the big mover overnight after it finally found some positive news coming from better than expected inflation data. This helped it to rally, with interest rate cut bets off the table.

The RBA are still adamant in their ways, however, and would like a lower AUD rate so this rally still could be short-lived.

After their two-day meeting, the BoJ has announced that it’s still upbeat on the view of the economy and has left the policy unchanged.

EUR/USD

Supports 1.3545 1.3500 1.3450 | Resistance 1.3585 1.3600 1.3635

USD/JPY

Supports 104.00 103.85 103.50 | Resistance 104.60 104.95 105.50

GBP/USD

Supports 1.6450 1.6385 1.6310 | Resistance 1.6400 1.6520 1.6570

StoneX Financial Ltd (trading as “City Index”) is an execution-only service provider. This material, whether or not it states any opinions, is for general information purposes only and it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. This material has been prepared using the thoughts and opinions of the author and these may change. However, City Index does not plan to provide further updates to any material once published and it is not under any obligation to keep this material up to date. This material is short term in nature and may only relate to facts and circumstances existing at a specific time or day. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment, legal, tax or other advice and no reliance should be placed on it.

No opinion given in this material constitutes a recommendation by City Index or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although City Index is not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, City Index does not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination. This material is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

For further details see our full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFD and Forex Trading are leveraged products and your capital is at risk. They may not be suitable for everyone. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved by reading our full risk warning.

City Index is a trading name of StoneX Financial Ltd. Head and Registered Office: 1st Floor, Moor House, 120 London Wall, London, EC2Y 5ET. StoneX Financial Ltd is a company registered in England and Wales, number: 05616586. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. FCA Register Number: 446717.

City Index is a trademark of StoneX Financial Ltd.

The information on this website is not targeted at the general public of any particular country. It is not intended for distribution to residents in any country where such distribution or use would contravene any local law or regulatory requirement.