CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Bitcoin to show its metal

The weekend can’t come quickly enough for stock markets which last week were trading at all-time highs. The correction that has unfolded over the past five sessions has been more savage than expected and a reminder how markets traded during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) day after day, week after week, month after month.

Thankfully markets are a long way away from experience anything like that type of sustained GFC panic. However, the fear of the unknown surrounding Covid-19 is unsettling markets and main street alike.

This is likely to continue until key Central banks show a willingness to deliver the rate cuts/stimulus that stocks need to rebound. As history shows, it’s much better to be on the side of central bank easing measures when they inevitably come.

In the meantime its more about weathering the storm. In this light, Bitcoin is catching the eye as other safe-haven assets such as gold are caught in the cross asset position wash.

Casting our mind back to the end of last year we were vocal in calling for Bitcoin to rally from its December low and suggested a long Bitcoin trade to benefit from this view. This worked well for us, the only frustration being Bitcoin rallied further than anticipated.

Since that point, I have been waiting patiently for a pullback in Bitcoin to re-enter longs. The retracement from the February 10500 high has now reached an interesting junction, the support offered by the 200 day moving average, 8750 area.

The ability to post a daily close above the 200 day moving average and the formation of a bullish reversal daily candle is a positive development. However, to confirm the uptrend has resumed and as the catalyst to open longs, a break/daily close above the resistance 9000/9200 area is needed.

This would then target a test and break of the February 10500 high, before 12,000 and would also go a long way to negating the possibility that Bitcoin is tracing out the right shoulder of a larger inverted head and shoulders pattern.

Source Tradingview. The figures stated areas of the 28th of February 2020. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.  This report does not contain and is not to be taken as containing any financial product advice or financial product recommendation

StoneX Financial Ltd (trading as “City Index”) is an execution-only service provider. This material, whether or not it states any opinions, is for general information purposes only and it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. This material has been prepared using the thoughts and opinions of the author and these may change. However, City Index does not plan to provide further updates to any material once published and it is not under any obligation to keep this material up to date. This material is short term in nature and may only relate to facts and circumstances existing at a specific time or day. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment, legal, tax or other advice and no reliance should be placed on it.

No opinion given in this material constitutes a recommendation by City Index or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although City Index is not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, City Index does not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination. This material is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

For further details see our full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFD and Forex Trading are leveraged products and your capital is at risk. They may not be suitable for everyone. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved by reading our full risk warning.

City Index is a trading name of StoneX Financial Ltd. Head and Registered Office: 1st Floor, Moor House, 120 London Wall, London, EC2Y 5ET. StoneX Financial Ltd is a company registered in England and Wales, number: 05616586. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. FCA Register Number: 446717.

City Index is a trademark of StoneX Financial Ltd.

The information on this website is not targeted at the general public of any particular country. It is not intended for distribution to residents in any country where such distribution or use would contravene any local law or regulatory requirement.

© City Index 2024