Wall Street

Downwardly revised GDP for the US in Q1 weighed on Wall Street indices ahead of a key inflation report, yet the ASX and Nikkei managed to bounce form their lows. We look at where we think they might head next.

I suspect we're seeing the early moves of a pullback of appetite for risk in general, which saw traders push Wall Street indices and gold lower on Wednesday thanks to weak treasury demand. And it seems to be paving the way for the next leg higher for the USD.

With bitcoin effectively taking its general trend from the stock market these days, traders should take note that US indices are mixed around all-time highs and Nvidia (a key driver of the Nasdaq) trades below resistance ahead of a key earnings report.

US futures are pointing to a muted open after strong gains in the previous session, as the Federal Reserve begins its two day policy meeting and as earnings continue to roll in. The Fed is widely expected to leave rates unchanged. However, the market will be watching commentary tomorrow on the future path for interest rates in light of recent strong data. US Consumer confidence data is due later today and is expected to ease to 100 from 103.

US stocks are set to open mildly lower as as treasury yields inch higher and US jobless claims remain low by historical standards. The jobless claims data comes after weak ADP payroll data yesterday, which helped to spark a recovery in treasuries -although the recovery in the bond market appears to have been short lived. Investors will keep a close eye on treasury yields as Fed speakers come into focus.

Can Disney’s earnings provide a much-needed catalyst for the House of Mouse?

The ASX200 trades 175 points (-2.5%) lower at 6835 at 2pm Sydney time

The S&P500 extended its rebound overnight, brushing off another round of hawkish Fed Speak ahead of the start of the Sep 10 Fed blackout period AND ahead of next week's all-important CPI release.

Despite data from China today that showed the Omicron outbreak appears under control and that Chinese economic data may have bottomed, it's been a disappointing day for U.S equity futures, giving back all of yesterday's gains and more

There’s no respite as investors continue dumping stocks and other risk assets

Investors continued to adopt simple strategy of ‘if it moves, sell it’ overnight, seeing equities bonds and commodities move broadly lower.

Last week three central banks, the Federal Reserve, the RBA, and the Bank of England, raised interest rates as the battle to tame inflation intensified.

U.S yields punched to fresh cycle highs overnight on robust economic data and hawkish commentary from Fed Governor Brainard.

U.S. yields have surged higher again this week to their highest level since May 2019, after Fed Chair Powell opened the door to a 50bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting, causing fresh pain for global bond markets.

This morning, the Federal Reserve followed the lead of the ECB last week to deliver a hawkish surprise. The Feds dot plots showed the median dot in 2022 rose to 1.875%, consistent with another six rate hikes in 2022, in line with market expectations.

A synchronised 'risk-on' move across multiple asset classes overnight, including the S&P500 and oil, based on optimism that Russia and Ukraine may find a diplomatic solution to end the bitter war and that OPEC+ will increase oil supply.