Matt Weller CFA, CMT
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DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Recapture Key Levels on Dovish Fed, Solid Earnings
The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all recaptured key technical levels, carrying a bullish bias to the coming week.
NFP Preview: US Dollar Bounce Potential if Jobs Remain Strong
The US dollar is testing support and the NFP leading indicators point to a slightly above expectation reading this month, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 200-250K range
FOMC Meeting Recap: US Dollar (DXY) Drops as Powell Feeds the Doves
The US dollar initially fell and indices rose as traders interpreted the Fed meeting and press conference as dovish.
FOMC Meeting Preview: Will the Fed Put Rate Hikes on the Table?
US dollar traders will be watching Fed Chairman Powell’s press conference and any decisions about the central bank’s balance sheet runoff as potential market-movers for the US Dollar Index (DXY)
Forex Seasonality – May 2024: Pullback Potential in EUR/USD and GBP/USD?
May has historically been the second-worst month for EUR/USD (-0.62%) and GBP/USD (-0.37%) - see what to watch for from the other major currency pairs!
EUR/USD Forecast: ECB Still Favors a Summer Rate Cut – Does that Cap Euro?
EUR/USD may have seen its bounce off 1.0600 support stall at 1.0740 – see the levels to watch moving forward!
DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Vulnerable Through Earnings Season
The DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all look vulnerable to more downside as long as this week’s highs hold.
US Core PCE Preview: USD/JPY Flirts with 155 Ahead of Key US Inflation Report
Diverging interest rate expectations between the Federal Reserve and the rest of the developed world have been THE biggest story of the year for FX traders (USD/JPY in particular), and Friday’s Core PCE report will be the next major test to determine if that trend will carry over into Q2
British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Hits 2024 Lows, Traders Continue to Sell Rallies
GBP/USD remains in “sell rallies” mode, so bullish readers will want to be nimble against a broader backdrop that favors more downside from here.
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Rally Nears 155 – Is the BOJ “The Boy Who Cried Wolf?”
For USD/JPY, the next test to watch will be at 155.00, and if the MOF/BOJ fail to act if USD/JPY breaches that level, traders may start to turn their eyes up to 160.00 next
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: “Magnificent Seven” Q1 2024 Earnings Preview
The Nasdaq 100 is finally showing signs of breaking down from its 2-month sideways range between about 17,800 and 18,400 ahead of the Magnificent Seven stocks' earnings reports.