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![Wall Street sign with a building in background](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/trading-floor-2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=4CFEFE4EEB2CF0CE749071B1C747B430)
Nasdaq, Russell 2000: Rates-Driven Rally or Bull Trap in Disguise?
Was last week’s Nasdaq and Russell 2000 rally driven by politics or something deeper in the rates market? Unpack the signals behind the big US stock market surge.
![aus_07](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/australia/aus_07.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=3C9BE5088DCB0B2F369625A0DE8D236E)
AUD/USD weekly outlook: The Aussie snaps a 6-week losing streak
The correlations between AUD/USD, the yuan and USD remain in play. But with the latter two stalling at important resistance levels, perhaps AUD/USD could achieve a bounce.
![US_flag_candlestick_USD](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/banners/nanda-banner-us_flag_candlestick_usd.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=95DE8F82A4A8F22CA88EA3D5004BDB39)
USD/JPY Forecast: Trump and BoJ Set to Spark Volatility Amid Yield Disconnect
USD/JPY’s usual ties to Treasury yields are wilting, leaving the pair at the mercy of Trump’s tariff moves and the BoJ’s rate decision. With key levels in play and volatility brewing, this will set you up for the week ahead.
![Quarry and various stones](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/commodities6v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=BADC1F466489A03D1161C998F623094E)
Copper, Iron Ore Forecast: No Major Pump from China Data Dump
Copper and iron ore are on a tear, smashing through resistance levels heading into China’s latest data dump. With key levels in play and Trump’s trade policies looming, could the rally have more fuel in the tank?
![Graphic of trading data chart](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/charts6v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=0ED200250399A6BD2CFF18E940CCF98E)
Gold, Silver Forecast: Bullish Momentum Runs Into Resistance
Inflation hedges shine despite a strong dollar and elevated yields, but with key resistance levels in play, the Trump tariff threat looms as a make-or-break moment.
![Downward trend](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend-4.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=F8EE17FBD68E83D9232D526AFFD14198)
USD/JPY, AUD/JPY under pressure amid yen strength, dovish Fed
The Japanese yen was again the strongest currency, which rose against all of its FX major peers. Looking through the charts suggests there could be further downside for USD/JPY and AUD/JPY.
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WTI crude oil inflates its way into 2025, eyes break of $80
Concerns over rising inflationary pressures were building as we headed towards the end of 2024. And the rapid acceleration of crude oil prices this year is doing nothing to alleviate those concerns.
![Close-up of market chart showing downtrend](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=16ED69B3107EF98B6DAF196A4AF1A902)
AUD/USD: Jobs Data Bolsters Range Test as RBA Rate Cut Bets Ease
AUD/USD edges higher as a strong jobs report questions the need for RBA rate cuts. Could this be the spark for a breakout, or will resistance keep the Aussie in check?
![USD_candlestick](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/banners/nanda-banner-usd_candlestick.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=4FB99C6C2503DCE220C274978D4AD086)
EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/CHF Struggling for Direction as Rate Links Fray
A string of failed breakouts in USD/CAD, USD/CHF and EUR/USD despite soft US inflation and big declines in Treasury yields should have traders questioning whether dollar dominance is over.
![Downward trend](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend-6.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=417819DDAD5FB555DD2602DF46F59D88)
Bears awaken USD/JPY from its lull, Nikkei bulls eye bounce
Bearish momentum intensified for USD/JPY on Wednesday thanks to a softer core CPI print, and there could be further losses to come looking at price action. And that could pave the way for a cheeky bounce on the Nikkei.
![Gold trading](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/gold1v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=CBD210E971154803FBDFA917942EB347)
Gold shakeout may not be over, though downside could be limited
Last week I warned that gold’s gains appeared dubious, and that they could sucker-punch bulls. And it seems they did. And while I suspect another leg or two lower, we could find its downside limited when we weigh up the supporting factors for gold.
![Graph showing a slow uptrend](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/uptrend-4v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=B981FB70C8CF82FA8BDAD4F33CB4F53B)
USD/CHF: Bull Run Faces Reversal Risk as Momentum Fades
With bullish momentum fading, traders are watching US inflation data and Scott Bessent's Senate debut for cues that could reshape the USD/CHF outlook.
![Close-up of market chart](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/charts1.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=C38414AAC5C51E3B267E05BAF459EA88)
EUR/USD: Morning Star Spark or Just a False Dawn?
Has EUR/USD finally found its floor? A clear morning star pattern suggests near-term lows may be in, but with Scott Bessent’s confirmation hearing looming, could a bond market twist drive the euro’s next big move?
![Research](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/uptrend-2-v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=4576495A01DC9D9C061149308ACAAA72)
USD/CNH stalls below 2023 high, China A50 rebounds from the 200 SMA
Where the US dollar index goes, USD/CNH follows. And if we're treated to a softer set of US CPI figures, it could prompt a pullback on both. This also coincides with a series of bullish clues on the China A50 index.
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EUR/AUD taps out, Wall Street could throw the ASX a lifeline (for now)
They may have come close to testing the limits of my bearish bias, but we finally saw momentum turn south for EUR/AUD and the ASX 200. However, with Wall Street indices looking steady above key support levels, a cheeky bounce could be due before the anticipated losses resume.
![downtrend chart](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend-2v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=204E5AA1A8B070009FF6C29C4A08C3D3)
Gold, Silver: Bullish Run Reversed as Key Risk Events loom
Gold and silver’s early 2025 rally hit a wall, with surging yields and a stronger dollar likely contributing to sharp reversals on Monday. As key support levels come into play, we look at potential trade setups.
![china_05](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/china/china_05.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=A51CDE56909F3DA4A7B6D14AC4BE3C0E)
USD/CNH: Can PBoC tweak tame the rising dollar ahead of US inflation data?
China’s central bank is stepping in to slow the yuan’s slide, moving to boost overseas borrowing. While the adjustment offers short-term relief, USD/CNH bulls remain in control as the focus shifts to US inflation, China’s data dump, and Trump’s looming tariff threats. Can Beijing hold the line, or is a push to fresh highs inevitable?
![aus_04](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/australia/aus_04.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=E060635EFEDE9E8569A036A7D88B4C65)
AUD/USD weekly outlook: 4-year low heading into US CPI and AU jobs
Another strong NFP report sent AUD/USD to a 4-year low on Friday, which was already under pressure following renewed bets of RBA cuts thanks to a soft CPI print for Australia. AU jobs and US CPI are the key data points for Aussie traders this week.
![jobs_05](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/jobs/jobs_05.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=3AD27CD306054903CBC790689E83B4CF)
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD levels heading into NFP
I doubt we’ll be seeing too much weakness in December’s NFP figures later today, and that could prompt another bid for the USD. But with Trump likely to revive his disdain for a strong dollar, perhaps a pullback is not too far away.
![gold_05](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/gold/gold_05.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=935736B38FC05B9D0F8D9B0EB6A13CC4)
Gold’s gains appear dubious, and could sucker-punch bulls
While I suspect gold is in for another good year, the gains seen so far in January wreak of a false initial move to my eyes. And with NFP potentially knocking out decent figures, I’m on the hunt for a swing high.
![Market chart](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/charts3v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=893859467220E10BC9512049F39AABC5)
AUD/USD holds ground despite softer CPI, EUR/AUD looks set to tap out
Bond yields and AUD/USD had a different take on today's inflation figures. And on this occasion, I believe forex traders are in the right. And if the Aussie can withstand the strength of the US dollar, it could bode well for bears seeking a cheeky EUR/AUD short.
![banks_05](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/banks/banks_05.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=486A4299A98CBFCC777D94F687C8F558)
ASX 200 teases bears with a potential swing high
The ASX 200 looks like it could be setting up for a dip lower, but whether it is a big or small dip is likely down to whether Wall Street holds above its December lows.
![Research](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/uptrend-2-v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=4576495A01DC9D9C061149308ACAAA72)
USD stands firm as ISM services delivers a sobering start to 2025
The latest batch of ISM reports have been released for December, and they’re not looking good for rate cuts. And that's keeping the USD supported and AUD/USD under pressure.