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japan_04

USD/JPY forecast: Stalemate looms on BOJ intervention threat, range trading favoured

The threat of intervention from the BOJ has increased, likely limiting upside for USD/JPY in the near to medium-term. But extremely wide interest rate differentials and buoyant markets suggest it shouldn’t be significantly lower. It points to a stalemate for yen bulls and bears but opens the door for traders to play existing ranges.

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Yesterday 11:52 PM
crypto_10

Forex Seasonality – April 2024: GBP/USD’s Most Bullish Month, USD/CAD’s Most Bearish

GBP/USD has historically seen its strongest gains in April, while USD/CAD has seen its worst performance in April and is testing resistance at its 4-month highs near 1.3600.

USA flag

Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA stocks drift higher amid a light calendar

US stocks are set to rise on the open, helped higher by rises in AI stocks and amid a quiet economic calendar. Attention will be on Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who is due to speak later. Otherwise, the main focus is Friday's core PCE data, which comes when the market is closed for the Good Friday holiday. Today oil prices are falling 1% after oil inventories rose sharply.

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Yesterday 01:14 PM
Energy

Crude oil analysis: WTI steady ahead of inventories data

Crude oil looks set to end March and the first quarter higher. Oil prices have been buoyed by easing demand concerns and sustained supply cuts by the OPEC+. Meanwhile WTI technical analysis points higher, for as long as $79-$80 support area holds.

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japan_08

USD/JPY, FTSE Forecast: Two trades to watch

USD/JPY rises to a 34-year high & is on intervention watch. FTSE falls despite Chinese industrial profits rising.

china_02

USD/CNH looks eerily similar to USD/JPY right now. Multi-year highs incoming?

There’s not much difference between the USD/CNH and USD/JPY on the weekly charts, other than the former appears to be lagging the latter right now. With the yen falling to fresh multi-year lows even with the threat of intervention from the BOJ, will the yuan be next?

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Yesterday 05:44 AM
Market trader analysing data

AUD/USD forecast: Why this textbook bearish pattern may be prone to failure

At the end of last week, I highlighted a potential bearish continuation pattern on AUD/USD. But the further this week has progressed, the more I have questioned its potential to break lower.

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Yesterday 03:44 AM
aus_04-LONC02G510KMD6R

AUD/USD bears eyeing downside after Australia’s inflation undershoot

Australia’s inflation report undershot expectations in February, although there’s still evidence of stickiness in underlying price measures. Markets reacted by bidding Australian government bonds which have pressured AUD/USD, seeing it test uptrend support. A break could see the Aussie revisit its 2024 lows.

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Yesterday 01:55 AM
gold_04

Gold forecast: Pullback on the radar - just don’t expect Armageddon

Looking at an equal-weighted gold basket against FX majors, its bullish character has certainly changed since breaking above its previous ATH.

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March 26, 2024 11:24 PM
stocks_08

DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Technical Forecast: US Index Uptrends Remain Healthy for Now

The DJIA and SPX are seeing bullish consolidations after breaking out to a record highs last week, while the Nasdaq 100 is testing the top of its 1-month range at record high, with a potential breakout targeting 19K.

Research

USD/JPY analysis: Gearing up for a breakout?

Watch out for Japanese intervention, Tokyo CPI and US core PCE inflation data this week, as the dollar rebounds after a weaker start. USD/JPY technical analysis point to a bullish breakout

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March 26, 2024 03:30 PM
Congress building

Nasdaq Forecast: QQQ rises, boosted by chipmakers

US stocks are set to open higher, boosted by chipmakers, and as investors weigh up diverging Fed views over the scale of rate cuts this year. While Raphael Bostic sees just one rate cut this year, Austan Goolsbee sees three rate cuts in 2024, The spotlight will be on US core PCE data on Friday, which could provide more clues over the Fed's future path for rate cuts. Today, US durable goods orders rose more than expected.

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March 26, 2024 01:30 PM
Gold nuggets

Gold and silver analysis: Technical Tuesday, March 26, 2024

Welcome to another edition of Technical Tuesday, a weekly report where we highlight some of the most interesting markets that will hopefully appease technical analysts and traders alike. In this week’s report, we will get technical on precious metals.

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