News and analysis

20231218 - 001 - 01

Dow Jones Analysis: DJIA falls after Meta disappoints, inflation rises

Meta beat earnings and revenue forecasts with EPS of $4.71 on revenue of $36.46 billion. However, the share price has slumped after weaker revenue guidance and higher spending plans. The selloff has hit sentiment and dragged other tech stocks lower. Meanwhile, the US Q1 GDP was weaker than expected, at 1.6%, annualised. However, core PCE inflation rose more than expected across the quarter. The Dow Jone analysis sees the price testing support at 38000,

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Today 02:12 PM
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Gold outlook remains positive as traders eye key US data

Gold outlook remains fundamentally supported in the long term as discussed in this article. In the short-term, traders are awaiting the release of US GDP and Core PCE data this week, ahead of NFP next week. Meanwhile, technical analysis shows the metal is finding some renewed support around its 21-day exponential average.

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Today 12:14 PM
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EUR/USD, FTSE Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD rises after German consumer confidence & ahead of US GDP data. FTSE rises on mining M&A news & after-earnings.

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Nasdaq 100 analysis: Markets remain vulnerable despite tech rally

Tech earnings optimism underpins recovery for now, but markets still remain vulnerable. US bond yields remain elevated ahead of a record $70 billion sale. Nasdaq 100 technical analysis shows index is testing key resistance.

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Yesterday 04:30 PM

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US Core PCE Preview: USD/JPY Flirts with 155 Ahead of Key US Inflation Report

Diverging interest rate expectations between the Federal Reserve and the rest of the developed world have been THE biggest story of the year for FX traders (USD/JPY in particular), and Friday’s Core PCE report will be the next major test to determine if that trend will carry over into Q2

20231218 - 001 - 01

S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises with earnings in focus, Tesla jumps

Stocks are pointing to a modestly higher start as earnings continue to roll in. However, gains could be limited after stronger-than-expected US durable goods orders revived concerns over the Fed keeping rates high for longer. Tesla is set to open 12% higher despite missing both earnings and revenue estimates. The market was more impressed by the news of an acceleration in the production of affordable EV models. Meta will report after the close.

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Euro to US dollar analysis: Will the EUR/USD find a bottom?

Disparity between US and Eurozone PMI data bodes well for euro. For now, the US dollar has rebounded slightly ahead of GDP and core PCE data. EUR/USD technical analysis shows rates testing a pivotal area circa $1.07 - a potential break above here would be ideal for the bulls.

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Yesterday 12:00 PM
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DAX, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch

DAX rises with German IFO business sentiment data in focus. USD/JPY inches higher despite intervention threats and ahead of US durable goods orders.

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Australian dollar setups following hot inflation print: AUD/JPY, EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD

It’s not just AUD/USD and the RBA interest rate outlook that have been shaken up by Australia’s hot March quarter inflation report with the Australian dollar gaining sharply against the crosses, especially those currencies whose central banks are still expected to ease monetary policy this year.

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Yesterday 07:51 AM

Bitcoin’s forecast: BTC rebound seems unconvincing

Momentum may have turned higher for bitcoin this week, yet it lacks the trading volumes usually associated with a strong rally.

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AUD/USD surges on uncomfortably high inflation update as RBA rate cut bets evaporate

AUD/USD is charging higher, powered by a hotter-than-expected Australian March quarter consumer price inflation report that has seriously dented the case for rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of Australia this year.

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US dollar correction kicks in, AUD/USD firm ahead of CPI: Asian Open

The US 2-year bond yield remains support, which is capping the yield at 5% and weighed on the US dollar. And that helped AUD/USD rise for a second day ahead of a key AU CPI report.

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US dollar stumble a tremor before the true FX earthquake hits

If you’re waiting for economic events outside the United States to spark the next wave of currency market volatility, you’re looking in the wrong place. Because in the absence of a black or grey-swan type event, it will almost certainly come from within the United States.

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Yesterday 12:01 AM
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