News & Analysis

DAX drops to test key technical support area as Wall Street is spooked by latest inflation data, further raising doubts over Fed's ability to cut rates. Earnings from Microsoft and Alphabet to come after the bell.

Meta beat earnings and revenue forecasts with EPS of $4.71 on revenue of $36.46 billion. However, the share price has slumped after weaker revenue guidance and higher spending plans. The selloff has hit sentiment and dragged other tech stocks lower. Meanwhile, the US Q1 GDP was weaker than expected, at 1.6%, annualised. However, core PCE inflation rose more than expected across the quarter. The Dow Jone analysis sees the price testing support at 38000,

Gold outlook remains fundamentally supported in the long term as discussed in this article. In the short-term, traders are awaiting the release of US GDP and Core PCE data this week, ahead of NFP next week. Meanwhile, technical analysis shows the metal is finding some renewed support around its 21-day exponential average.

EUR/USD rises after German consumer confidence & ahead of US GDP data. FTSE rises on mining M&A news & after-earnings.

Tech earnings optimism underpins recovery for now, but markets still remain vulnerable. US bond yields remain elevated ahead of a record $70 billion sale. Nasdaq 100 technical analysis shows index is testing key resistance.

Diverging interest rate expectations between the Federal Reserve and the rest of the developed world have been THE biggest story of the year for FX traders (USD/JPY in particular), and Friday’s Core PCE report will be the next major test to determine if that trend will carry over into Q2

Stocks are pointing to a modestly higher start as earnings continue to roll in. However, gains could be limited after stronger-than-expected US durable goods orders revived concerns over the Fed keeping rates high for longer. Tesla is set to open 12% higher despite missing both earnings and revenue estimates. The market was more impressed by the news of an acceleration in the production of affordable EV models. Meta will report after the close.

Disparity between US and Eurozone PMI data bodes well for euro. For now, the US dollar has rebounded slightly ahead of GDP and core PCE data. EUR/USD technical analysis shows rates testing a pivotal area circa $1.07 - a potential break above here would be ideal for the bulls.

DAX rises with German IFO business sentiment data in focus. USD/JPY inches higher despite intervention threats and ahead of US durable goods orders.